No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for June 17th, 2008

But, but, but I thought there was no chance of rain tonight

by @ 23:25. Filed under Weather.

Revisions/extensions (11:30 pm 6/17/2008): All of the forecasts quoted were pulled up from the various entities’ websites between 10:55 pm and 11:05 pm while I was getting wet.

Weather forecast for the rest of tonight from the National Weather Service…

Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

Weather forecast from The Weather Channel…

Partly cloudy. Low around 55F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph. Precip: 20%

Weather forecast from WTMJ (both TV/DT-Channel 4 and AM)…

Mostly clear and mild. Low: 53. Wind: WNW 5-10 MPH.

Weather forecast from WISN-TV/DT (Channel 12)…

Partly Cloudy and Cool. Low: 53. Wind: NW 5-10.

Weather forecast from WDJT-TV/DT (Channel 58)…

Clouds thin out tonight with overnight lows, cool again, dropping into the low to mid 50’s and a light west to northwest wind.

Radar picture of my neck of the woods at 11:08 pm 6/17/2008 (courtesy Weather Underground)…

And as I typed this up, the shower passed over and the NWS issued a short-term forecast (at 11:07 just as the shower popped up)…

Scattered showers have rapidly developed over southern Dodge…northeast Jefferson…and central Milwaukee County. These showers are capable of producing heavy downpours as they push southeast around 40 mph.

Some cities impacted by these showers through midnight include Sullivan…Mukwonago…Oak Creek….and Racine.

There is a small scale cold front over eastern Fond Du Lac…Washington…and Milwaukee counties that is pushing southwest around 15 mph. Look for gusty northeast winds and temperatures falling into the lower 50s rapidly with the passage of the front. The front should pass through Waukesha and Kenosha by midnight.

I was unable to find an overnight forecast from WITI-TV/DT (Channel 6); they had already transtioned their website’s forecast to tomrrow. Note the only entity that even raised the possibility of rain was The Weather Channel, and then they deemed the chance of rain so slight that it didn’t merit an actual mention in the forecast.

And people wonder why I don’t buy Gorebal “Warming” or whatever the acolytes are calling the anti-American/anti-capitalist line of bullshit nowadays. They can’t even get the fucking forecast for the next 3 hours right.

Roll change – animal edition

by @ 22:26. Filed under The Blog.

Eric of the Tygrrrr Express has moved to his own server at http://www.tygrrrrexpress.com/. Please change your rolls and feeds accordingly.

Here comes the fallout from Boudemaine

by @ 19:24. Filed under Lawgivers-In-Black, War on Terror.

(H/Ts – Jim Hoft and Ace)

Canada.com reports that the court-appointed lawyer of “suspected” Islamokazi Omar Khadr, the sole surviving member of a group of Taliban Islamokazis who initiated a firefight with American forces in July 2002, wants Khadr released because he wasn’t read his rights.

I support his release…from an aircraft flying at 35,000 feet sans parachute and oxygen tank.

Roll bloat – Welcome Back Hammer

by @ 18:52. Filed under The Blog.

Among the things I missed yesterday was Mary Katharine’s return to the blogosphere at her new employer’s place. Guess it’s time to change the roll to the new home of Ham Blog.

I could put up the theme from “Welcome Back Kotter”, but she’d probably kill me.

The Mornin…er, Afternoon Scramble – 6/17/2008

by @ 14:04. Filed under The Morning Scramble.

The trip back from Madison yesterday drained me more than I thought. I’m feeling a chest cold coming on…

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2kot_Kbo9QQ[/youtube]

  • Dave Bauer reveals who Abu Babear is in the penultimate episode of Blogs4Bauer’s Writers’ Strike Substitue. Next week; do we get our first Scientologist President?
  • Shoebox sounds the alarm for those of us forced to burn our food. I will note that since he’s in Minnesota, he has to deal with ethanol statewide (unless he’s driving a 21-year-old vehicle or a diesel; if memory serves, the latter suffers from a biodiesel requirement, and soybeans are about as flood-intolerant as corn).
  • Ace delivers an Instant Classic on the combined US/Saudi increase of 200,000 barrels of oil per day.
  • 3 wood reports on another (un)intended consequence of high gas prices; a further crash of the suburban housing market.
  • Kate has several cartoons on oil.
  • Lawhawk notes the 7th Marine of the Haditha 8 is about to be cleared. I wonder whether John Murtha likes crow.
  • Paul Noonan makes the case for doing to Ned Yost what the Mets did to Willie Randolph.
  • Tom McMahon 4-Blocks the difference between Jesus Christ and Barack Obama.
  • Jim Geraghty caught Obama’s likely National Security Advisor, Richard Danzig, dipping into the land of childrens’ books, and comparing Islamokazis to Luke Skywalker. No word on whether it was the Navy or the group by that name that fried Richard’s mind.
  • Of course, Slublog unleashed an Instant Classic SluShop in honor of that.
  • Plebian takes a semi-serious look at Obama’s VP candidate choices. I’ll leave it up to you to decide which parts are Shirley-quality serious.
  • Lance Burri has the latest Obamination verbal gaffe. Just remember, there’s a reason why authoritarians the world over want their subjects unarmed.
  • Robert has the cartoon of the day, mourning the impending loss of independence for America’s last mega-brewer. If only I could handle rice in my beer, I’d hoist a cold one.
  • John Adams notes the Department of Revenue sees a sluggish Wisconsin economy until 2010. I guess making Wisconsin a bigger corporate tax hell isn’t exactly conducive to economic growth.
  • Ed Morrissey explores the decision of the Associated Press to revisit its stance of suing blogs that use short quotations from its articles.

Roll bloat – another Blogivist

by @ 12:20. Filed under The Blog.

It’s a day late because I didn’t turn the computer back on after I got back from Madison yesterday, but it’s time to add The Liberty Tree Lantern by Capt. Karl.

The Next Fuel Shoe To Drop?

by @ 5:19. Filed under Corn-a-hole.

I wrote yesterday about the likelihood of a dramatic increase in corn prices due to the damage done by the floods.

I found this article today, where a commodities analyst is claiming that due to the crop loss from the flood, corn could go to $16/bushel.

What????? It wasn’t that long ago that corn at $4/bushel was nearly laughable. Today, corn futures have moved to over $7.90/bushel.

Well, I got to thinking….we use some of this corn to make ethanol. Most states require an ethanol blend for automobile fuel. What’s the impact of increasing corn costs going to be on our fuel costs?

To date, the financial impact of adding ethanol to the fuel has been a benefit to consumers. Even today, ethanol sells (OK, I’m not mucking this with all the subsidies it gets that we pay for via other taxes…let’s just keep this simple) for under $2.90/gallon. The easy math says that if your average fuel is around $4/gallon and ethanol is less than that, then blending the ethanol is having some impact of bringing the total price down on a gallon of fuel.

Now let me scare you:

Look at what has happened to the price of corn futures in the past month:
In less than two weeks, the price of corn has moved up 18%. With corn a major ingredient of ethanol, these price increases should have an impact on the price of ethanol….and they have.   Just look:

During that same two weeks ethanol futures have increased 13%. But corn is only at $7.90, what happens if it goes to $16/bushel? A quick back of the envelope says that $16 corn would easily translate to $5 ethanol.

Hmmmmm, now unless our fuel cost per gallon exceeds $5/gallon, the ethanol additive will actually increase the overall cost per gallon!

One more reason to shelve ethanol: Acts of God (read that floods, hail, drought, etc.) have a much more dramatic effect on agriculture than on drilling or mining.

Drill here, drill now, pay less!

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