Surprisingly, I’m not talking about Barack Obama, I’m talking about Mike Huckabee. In an interview this morning, Huckabee claims that he will stay in the race, suprise McCain in Texas and Ohio, and force a deadlocked convention.
According to Real Clear Politics MCcain currently has 975 delegates. 1,191 delegates are required for the nomination. Romney has said that he wants his delegates to vote for McCain. Romney has 272 delegates. Doesn’t that put him over the top?
OK, so let’s say that Romney’s folks don’t follow the leader. McCain is leading polls by double digits in Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania. A total of 302 delegates are available in these states. Is any clear thinking person believing that McCain doesn’t have this thing wrapped up? A total of 875 delegates are yet to be settled, does anyone think McCain won’t get at least 25% of those?
I’ve said it before, Huckabee is staying in this thing for his ego. He changes his reasoning following each primary to fit some new delusional view of how the world might be. If Mike is able to craft personal delusions for a losing cause as a nominee, what kinds of delusions do you think he could live in if he was faced with a serious security threat to the US? Is this the type of thinking we would want for the man that has his finger on “the button?”
If McCain wins with 50% + 1 in Texas, I believe the state becomes “Winner Take All.” If he accomplishes this, and Huckabee stays in the race… I can’t even put into words how much I will loathe the man.
Yep. However, according to The Green Papers, it’s a combination of by-district (3 per, 32 districts, 96 total) and statewide (41).
If there is not a majority, it becomes proportional for the statewide and a 2-1 split between 1st and 2nd, with a 20% minimum to qualify in either case.