No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Presidential Pool – the next 2 weeks, Republican edition

by @ 21:00 on February 6, 2008. Filed under Politics - National.

Despite a massive win by John McCain on Super-Duper Tuesday, he is still, at least by Flip’s calculations, 471 delegates short of actually locking up the nomination. As such, the other three remaining candidates, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and Ron Paul, are soldiering on as of this writing. There is a heap of contests the next two weeks, with depending on the results of Louisiana, either 238 or 258, including Wisconsin’s, so let’s take a quick look at how the delegates are allocated, courtesy The Green Papers:

– Saturday, February 9 –

  • Kansas precinct caucuses, 39 delegates at stake:
    • District-level delegates (3 x 4 Congressional districts, 12 total) – All 3 per district allocated to the candidate winning the district vote; in the event of a tie, each candidate that is tied is allocated a single delegate and the remainder (if any) is “uncommitted” (I do not know what happens in a 4-way tie)
    • State party/at-large/bonus delegates (27 total) – All 27 allocated to the candidate winning the statewide vote as long as that candidate wins at least 2 districts; otherwise all 27 “unpledged”
  • Louisiana primary, potentially 20 delegates at stake:
    • 20 delegates awarded to a majority-vote winner; otherwise, those 20 are “unpledged” when they are chosen at the state convention 2/16/2008
  • Washington state precinct caucuses, 18 delegates at stake:
    • All 18 officially “unpledged” through the caucus/convention process

– Tuesday, Febrary 12 –

  • District of Columbia primary, 16 delegates at stake:
    • All 16 delegates are awarded to the candidate winning the district-wide vote
  • Maryland primary, 37 delegates at stake:
    • District-level delegates (3 x 8 Congressional districts, 24 total) – All 3 per district awarded to the candidate winning the district
    • State party/at-large/bonus delegates (13 total) – All 13 awarded to the candidate winning the statewide vote
  • Virginia primary, 63 delegates at stake:
    • All 63 awarded to the candidate winning the statewide vote

– Saturday, February 16 –

  • Guam convention, 6 delegates at stake:
    • The 6 (at-large delegates) allocated proportionally (at least that’s the way I read it)

– Tuesday, February 19 –

  • Washington State primary, 19 delegates at stake:
    • District-level delegates (1 x 9 districts, 9 total) – Each one awarded to the winner of that district
    • At-large delegates (10 total) – The 10 awarded proportionally, with a 20% minimum
  • Wisconsin primary, 40 delegates at stake:
    • District-level delegates (3 x 8 districts, 24 total) – All 3 per district awarded to the winner of that district provided that candidate received 1/3rd of the vote, otherwise all 3 “uncommitted”
    • State party/at-large/bonus delegates (16 total) – All 16 awarded to the winner of the statewide vote provided that candidate received 1/3rd of the vote, otherwise all 16 “uncommitted”

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