define('DISALLOW_FILE_EDIT', true); define('DISALLOW_FILE_MODS', true); No Runny Eggs » steveegg

No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for posts by steveegg.

December 11, 2007

WPRI – Wisconsin opposes illegal immigration

by @ 14:17. Filed under Immigration, Politics - Wisconsin.

The results of a poll conducted by the Wisconsin Policy Research Institute and Diversified Research early this month are probably coming as a shock to pro-North Mexico politicans on both sides of the aisle, both on a “total numbers” basis and a partisan basis.

Because I’m in a bit of a writer’s funk, and partly because there are only limited crosstabs available, I won’t go too far into the numbers, but there are a few that jump out (the questions, in italics, are the exact wording used in the poll):

Should the state of Wisconsin allow illegal immigrants to apply for Wisconsin driver’s licenses? – Statewide, 76% no, 19% yes. Only one subgroup showed a majority/plurality of support; those 18-24 years old (64%-36% in favor). Even among liberals, it was an even split (at 48%), while the Madison crowd barely opposed it (49%-48%). Of further note, Madison and the Eau Claire/La Crosse area (opposition led 65%-32%) are out of step with the rest of the state, a theme that repeated itself in the other two questions, while the city of Milwaukee (opposition led 80%-17%), which is most-affected by illegal immigration, showed a significant split with the conventional wisdom of liberals supporting illegal immigration.

Should the state of Wisconsin allow illegal immigrants to receive discounted in-state tuition at the
University of Wisconsin?
– Statewide, 86% no, 10% yes. No subgroup showed a majority/pluality of support, though again the splits mirror the results above.

Would you favor or oppose allowing illegal immigrant children to attend your local public schools? – Statewide, 46% yes, 46% no. The crosstabs don’t quite mirror either the above or the conventional wisdom that southeast Wisconsin has a monopoly on “conservatism”. While opposition led in the Green Bay area, 53%-32% (the biggest spread geographically), those in southeast Wisconsin (at least outside of Milwaukee and Waukesha Counties; those are broken out separately) supported this 50%-46%, while support in the Eau Claire/La Crosse area (72%-28%) actually outpaced that in Madison (61%-33%).

I guess it’s safe to say that, at least on the issue of illegal immigration, those of us in Talk Radio Land, and those in the Fox Valley, are more in touch with the state than the Dale Schultzes and the Mike Huebschs (or at least their constituents), and the Recess Supervisors of the world. Guess that’ll add some fuel to the fire of the battle for the Wisconsin Republican soul.

I do need to point out an extension that should be made to WPRI’s summary. The fact that there is so much opposition to giving a primary-school education to illegal immigrant children in the face of the lack of any real call to take it away is telling.

Freefly – Global Warming edition

by @ 13:32. Filed under Global "Warming".

I honestly don’t know what’s more delicious in the latest, too-infrequent Freefly from Uncle Jimbo and Kev; Kev in shorts and a tank top or the typical Madistan bike rider rolling through in the middle of the taping.

Thank you, Algore Goracle, High Priestess Cullen, and the rest of the Gorebal Warming disciples; this wouldn’t be nearly as funny without your pontifications that we’re heating up the planet beyond all recognition.

Break out your ice chippers, plus DR is ON!

by @ 11:50. Filed under Miscellaneous, Weather.

The good news, at least at the Command, Control & Conquer compound here in northwest Oak Creek, is that it is above freezing.

The bad news is, looking at the temps elsewhere, it isn’t above freezing. Be careful out there, and watch out for that ice. Even if it’s just above freezing, the most-slippery ice is water-covered ice.

The better news is that this is supposed to change to all snow by 3, with minimal accumulation. That means that, unlike the DOT and MPS, which have cancelled their evening activities, Drinking Right is ON! If you’re worried about the roads in Milwaukee, Burleigh is a main thoroughfare, and the freeways are handled by the county.

December 10, 2007

Eggs on the road

by @ 16:54. Filed under Miscellaneous.

I’m not letting the weather or a lack of blog posts stop me. You shouldn’t either.

Stop #1 – Drinking Right, 12/11, 7 pm at Papa’s Social Club, 7718 W Burleigh in Milwaukee

Stop #2 – Center-Right Coalition featuring Rick Esenberg on the Supreme Court race, 12/12, 9 am (refreshments at 8:30) at the Madison Club, 5 E Wilson in Madison

Presidential Pool – 24 campaigning days to Iowa

by @ 16:51. Filed under Politics - National.

Ed: I had intended to make this a multi-part one-day series, but events are keeping me from getting to part 2 until at least tomorrow.

A couple of interesting things happened since my last look at the pool. The first is something I should have expected; the Democrats have historically been very reluctant to continue to embrace their early front-runner, in this case Hillary Clinton. Barack Obama has taken the lead in Iowa, and is threatening in New Hampshire and South Carolina. However, that also bumps up against the other Dem maxim – Iowa is not a reliable precursor to success. If it were, we would’ve had nominee Howard Dean. It remains to be seen which of the maxims holds.

The second is the meteoric climb of Mike Huckabee in Iowa and South Carolina at the putative expense of everybody else, but especially early-state front-runner Mitt Romney. The ease of Huckabee’s supplanting of Romney caused a pair of “panic” moves; Romney giving his “Mormon” speech, and Fred Thompson declaring Iowa his Alamo.

I’m almost certainly in the minority on the “Mormon” speech; I honestly and personally did not see the reason for it. By the same token, unlike a lot of others that can fairly be described as the “religious right”, my sole religious “test” is whether one’s religion (or lack thereof) compels him or her to violate the Constitution by imposing said religion (or lack thereof) upon the rest of the country. I don’t see that out of Mormonism.

Thompson’s campaign has come to the late realization that Iowa, as one of only 3 pre-Super Duper Tuesday states that count as much now as they did in prior elections, is wide open. Even though Huckabee, with the undoubted aiding and abetting by the media, has made a miraculous move, it wasn’t exactly a solid movement. A recent poll that gave Huckabee the lead also noted that roughly 60% of Iowans could still be persuaded to leap off a particular candidate’s bandwagon.

Now that the prelims are done, it’s time to eliminate the also-rans (later, Hunter, Paul, Tancredo, Richardson, Kucinich, Biden, Dodd, and Gravel) and focus on why each of the 8 remaining can and cannot win their respective party’s nomination:

Hillary Clinton (D)

Why she can win: She still has the popular (in Democratic circles) Bill as her husband, and thanks to DNC machinations, she has the reduced Michigan contingent locked up. Also, she and her campaign staff are masters of negative campaigning.
Why she cannot win: As stated above, the Democrats tend to dump early front-runners like yesterday’s trash. Morever, her campaign is imploding.

John Edwards (D)

Why he can win: He’s perfectly poised to benefit from any potential backlash from mud slung between Clinton and Obama.
Why he cannot win: This isn’t Wisconsin 1992, where those who play the nice guy can finish first.

Rudy Giuliani (R)

Why he can win: There’s way too much time between Iowa/New Hampshire/South Carolina and Super Duper Tuesday for any surprise candidates to maintain momentum on their own, and his entire strategy has revolved around SDT. This has been enhanced by the faltering of Romney in 2/3rds of that early triad.
Why he cannot win: He is, frankly, a liberal running in what is still considered a conservative set of primaries.

Mike Huckabee (R)

Why he can win: He’s got the big media-driven mo.
Why he cannot win: Other than abortion, God and guns, he is, frankly, a liberal running in what is still considered a conservative set of primaries. Morever, he doesn’t have the monopoly on the secular 2/3rds of those 3.

John McCain (R)

Why he can win: I believe that somebody other than Giuliani, Huckabee, and Romney will be the media flavor of the week before New Hampshire, and McCain’s been Old Reliable for them in the past. Also, he’s running further to the right than he’s run before.
Why he cannot win: Elephants tend to have long memories, and McCain has a lot of baggage.

Barack Obama (D)

Why he can win: He’s a shiny new package for the same tired liberal policies, and he wasn’t the early front-runner.
Why he cannot win: Seven letters – C-L-I-N-T-O-N

Mitt Romney (R)

Why he can win: He still has New Hampshire, and he still has a pile of money.
Why he cannot win: There’s a certain lack of trust of all his flip-flops. That was the big knock on the last candidate out of Massachusetts, and it would be ironic to say the least if the Republicans fell into the same trap the Democrats did the last Presidential election.

Fred Thompson (R)

Why he can win: Out of the 5 remaining Republicans, he is the most-conservative one left. There are still hints of something out there the pollsters are missing.
Why he cannot win: The campaign has frankly been a disaster, and the media is bound and determined to have two liberals duking it out from mid-February through November.

December 9, 2007

Green Bay Packers – 2007 NFC North champs (take two)

by @ 15:07. Filed under Sports.

Thanks to the 38-7 throttling of Oakland, the Green Bay Packers are your 2007 NFC North champs. I’ll repeat what I said last week:

I’ll admit it; I was way the hell wrong about the Packers this year. I was way the hell wrong about Mike McCarthy (alternately known as E. Michael McCanthy). I was even wrong about Ted (Wile E.) Thompson.

December 7, 2007

A date that still lives in infamy

by @ 9:45. Filed under History, War.

Hat-tip for the video – Jawa Howie. Now, watch and remember (or learn if you’re a recent product of public school education):

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAnOtWm5OrM[/youtube]

December 6, 2007

Reason #16,329 taxes are out of control in Wisconsin

I missed the budget meeting and the subsequent Common Council meeting here in Oak Creek where they passed a tax-and-spend-to-the-max 3.86% levy increase/4.1% expenditure increase budget the other week. However, thanks to Mark Verhalen, I do have one of the reasons why they did that rather than the original 3.03% levy increase and 3.0% expenditure increase; they wanted to grab $250,000 in additional state shared revenue for the 2009 budget under a program supposedly for communities that practice fiscal restraint available only to those local governments that did tax and spend to the max.

Yes, you heard that right – the state is passing out state tax money to communities that screw the taxpayers the maximum amount allowed so that they can continue to spend out of control when the one-year semi-freeze limit hits.

Words, at least those not involving BS-bombs, H-bombs and F-bombs, fail me.

Damn that glass .500 ceiling

by @ 19:37. Filed under Sports.

The week went much like the Packer game; an early-fuckup, a battle back, and a late choke.

Green Bay 27 (+7) @ Dallas 37 – Unfortunately, only half the secondary showed up, and was promptly taken out of the game by zebras. Fortunately, the over came in.
Detroit 10 @ Minnesota 42 (-4) – If only the Packers had taken care of business,….
NY Giants 21 @ Chicago 16 (+2) – How do you spell choke? B-E-A-R-S! Damn the G-men for getting greedy when all they needed to do was run the clock out and kick a field goa.
Atlanta 16 @ St Louis 28 (-3.5; line from the Las Vegas Sports Consultants opening line) – In a battle of backups, it’s best not to play the third-stringer.
Buffalo 17 (+6) @ Washington 16 – I wonder if the Hall of Fame can kick out a coach for sheer stupidity.
Houston 20 @ Tennessee 28 (-4) – The Texans were definitely doomed.
Jacksonville 25 (+7-WIN) @ Indianapolis 28 – Or get smashed by the over.
New York Jets 40 (+1.5; line from MGM Grand) @ Miami 13 – Do not look for the Jets to score 40 the last 4 games.
San Diego 24 (-6) @ Kansas City 10 – Where was this LT all season?
Seattle 28 (+3; line from MGM Grand) @ Philadelphia 24 – The Eagles’ fans are wondering what they’ve done to deserve this. Clue – the booing of Santa.
San Francisco 14 (+3) @ Carolina 31 – And I missed out on a 30″ walleye. At least I know my counter-contra picks worked out.
Cleveland 21 (-1) @ Arizona 27 – The NewBrowns continue to beat themselves on the road.
Denver 20 (-3.5) @ Oakland 34 – Actually, it turned into a hell of a week for the out-of-staters.
Tampa Bay 27 (+3) @ New Orleans 23 – Bow-wow-wow!
Cincinnati 10 (+7; line from MGM Grand) @ Pittsburgh 24 – Fugly explains the BenGALS.
New England 27 (-21-LOSS) @ Baltimore 24 – The Pats are exposed. Unfortunately, the ghost of Dennis Green infected the OldBrowns.

9-7 on the week and 1-1 in the over/unders punches me to 90-91-11 ATS and 16-9-1 on the over/unders.

NFL Week 14

by @ 19:07. Filed under Sports.

I’ll add a link to the wrapup of an oh-so-close Week 13 in a bit, but I need to get this out before kickoff. As always, the lines come from Bodog, which unlike last week, doesn’t have any games off the board.

Chicago @ Washington (-3) – This time, it will not come down to a Gibbs brain-fart.
Oakland @ Green Bay (-11) – The good news; Eric (aka Black Tygrrrr) won’t have to rip his “We’ll trade our 45 for your #4” sign in half.
Dallas (-11.5) @ Detroit – The Lions continue their late-season slide. Take the over-51.5.
Minnesota San Francisco (+9) – This game features the dumbest over/under I’ve seen all season. Take the over-39.
Carolina @ Jacksonville (-11) – This one’s going to be ugly.
Miami @ Buffalo (-7) – If only it were in Miami, the Fins could avoid another crushing loss. Unfortunately, it’s not.
New York Giants @ Philadelpha (-3) – The G-men will continue to crater.
San Diego @ Tennessee (+1.5) – Ignore history; it’s not Schottenheimer’s Bolts.
St Louis (+7) @ Cincinnati – It’s a very risky play with Bulger not yet certain to play. However, he was a full participant in today’s practice.
Tampa Bay (-3) @ Houston – Can you tell me why the Bucs are only favored by 3? I can’t figure it out, even though the game’s circled.
Arizona @ Seattle (-7) – Stat of the week – Arizona has not swept Seattle since The Realignment. It’s not happening this year either.
Pittsburgh (+10) @ New England – I know, this game’s on the road, where Pittsburgh sucks. However, the Pats have been exposed as having no running game and no real ability to stop the run.
Cleveland (-3.5) @ New York Jets – Insert standard comment about the Game of the Weak
Kansas City @ Denver (-7) – This is in Denver, right?
Indianapolis (-10) @ Baltimore – The OldBrowns had the Pats right where they wanted them; unfortunately, they’re not good enough to do it two weeks in a row.
New Orleans (-4.5) @ Atlanta – The only thing I have to say is the Birds are no good.

Revisions/extensions (7:39 pm 12/6/2007) – Link to the Week 13 wrap.

It’s local election season – Oak Creek’s 2nd Aldermanic seat is open

by @ 17:19. Filed under Politics - Oak Creek.

I probably should’ve had something up before now, but I’ve been a wee bit lax in getting local stuff up. Here’s what’s up for election in Oak Creek in the spring 2008 election cycle:

– 2nd Aldermanic District (incumbent Al Foeckler – not running)
– 4th Aldermanic District (incumbent Michael Toman)
– 6th Aldermanic District (incumbent Tom Michalski)
– City clerk (incumbent Beverly Buretta)
– City treasurer (incumbent Barbara Guckenberger)
– Municipal judge (incumbent Alice Rudebusch)
– One Oak Creek-Franklin School District seat (incumbent Sheryl Cerniglia)

Oak Creek Now points out that candidacy papers are due by 5 pm January 2, and notice of non-candidacy by the incumbents are due by 5 pm December 21.

The word is Al Foeckler announced Tuesday that he is not running for re-election. That leaves an opportunity for interested citizens. Even though I just moved back to the 2nd, I do not anticipate following in the footsteps of Fred Dooley and Kathy Carpenter, but I will offer the following bits of advice for potential candidates (culled from the still-in-business State Elections Board):

– Read the Campaign Finance and Bookkeeping Manual, even if you do not intend to raise or spend more than $1,000 or receive more than $100 from anybody other than yourself in a calendar year.
– File a completed Campaign Registration Statement with the city clerk the moment you decide to run, before you either start raising/spending funds or start circulating nomination papers, and before 5 pm January 2.
– Collect at least 20 signatures on the Nomination Paper for Nonpartisan Office form and have them into the city clerk’s office before 5 pm January 2.
– File a completed Declaration of Candidacy with the city clerk no later than 5 pm January 2.

Huck boomlet about to bust?

by @ 15:11. Filed under Politics - National.

I’m still gathering my thoughts on a “X campaigning days to Iowa” update on the race, while waiting to see what a couple of late-breaking moves (one I should have seen coming, one I couldn’t) and the Mitt Mormon speech did. However, I can’t let Mike Huckabee’s meteoric rise in Iowa, South Carolina (if Rasmussen can be believed), and nationally (again, if Rasmussen or national polls can be believed) go without comment, especially since just about my entire blogroll is playing Hack-a-Huck. Allow me to get my six fouls in.

While I agree with Ace that the presstitutes are pretending to love Huckabee right now and that a Huckabee-Dem matchup would hand the Oval Office to said Dem, I’m a bit more conspiratorial than his implication that matchup is what they want. While they would like that matchup, it is only their second-favorite matchup behind the Rudy Giuliani-Dem one because they’ll win either way there. Despite the (apparent) lack of movement by Fred Thompson, they are still deathly-afraid of Thompson as the nominee, and they’ve also become afraid that the full “conversion” of Mitt Romney to a conservative is real. They needed someone to finish cutting the tires of Romney’s early momentum, and who better than someone that can finish the process of separating the pro-lifers from the Republican Party because his only conservative qualifications are that he’s a Baptist minister and pro-life?

The binary choice of Giuliani and Huckabee is unpalatable to signifiant and different, if somewhat-overlapping, segments of the Republican Party. Despite not being exactly a fiscal or governmental conservative, Giuliani is positively Goldwaterian (circa 1964) compared to Huckabee. On the pro-life front, there almost cannot be a wider difference between the two.

Huckabee has several serious problems as a Presidential candidate beyond his fiscal and governmental liberalism. Despite his late protestations that he isn’t an shill for illegal aliens (H/T – Hot Air), he has a long and sad record of being a shill for same. I wish those three items were enough to have killed his campaign, but as the second President Bush has proven over the last 8 years, the core of conservatism has been eroded over the last 75 years to the point where government-induced “compassion” has become a bigger draw than the desire for a hands-off government that actually maintains its borders.

Depending on whether Huckabee is stopped cold before or after January, it’s fortunate or unfortunate that those are the least of his problems. You may or may not have heard of Wayne Dumond (if you haven’t, he’s a convicted rapist who was paroled at the urging of Huckabee who went on to rape and murder a woman; a damning timeline of Huckabee’s involvement in the decision to parole Dumond at Hot Air). Considering that Republican voters care a bit more about stuff like that than Democratic ones (just ask Mike Dukakis), I’ll wager that Huckabee’s ultimate failure will come well before Dukakis’.

If those don’t sink Huckabee in Iowa and South Carolina, there’s an interesting (in a Chinese way) quote from Huckabee that was caught by Jim Geraghty that will finish the split job started by the presstitutes – “There’s only one explanation for it (Huckabee’s surge in the polls), and it’s not a human one. It’s the same power that helped a little boy with two fish and five loaves feed a crowd of five thousand people.”

Maybe it was the minimum markup law

by @ 13:43. Filed under Business, Politics - Wisconsin.

Crude oil futures are (still) at historic highs, and the last time gasoline futures (specifically, New York’s version of reformulated unleaded) were trading at this level, gas was tickling $3.30/gallon in southeast Wisconsin. I picked up gasoline the other day at $2.88/gallon, and MilwaukeeGasPrices.com has gas as low as $2.73/gallon (note; they drop the 0.9¢, I round up because we pay the extra penny on 9 out of every 10 gallons).

Hmm, what could be the difference between then and now? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller? Before you say, “Ethanol,” it’s trading at some of the highest levels of 2007 (December 2007 ethanol at CBOT is over $1.95/gallon). True, it’s significantly lower than the 2006 highs, but those $3.30/gallon gas prices were earlier this year.

Also, before you say, “RBOB”, I’ll note that while NYC RBOB isn’t the same as Milwaukee/Chicago RBOB, they’re close enough, and that NYMEX switched to quoting NYC RBOB some time ago. As a further side note, while those cheaper gas prices haven’t hit much of the state, Janesville, Beloit, and points west of there also have cheap gas, and the last time I checked, there was no RBOB or ethanol requirement there.

Rather, it can fairly be attributed with the elimination via judicial fiat of the minimum markup law with respect to gasoline. Care to revise and extend those remarks that said that eliminating the minimum markup law wouldn’t make any difference, governor? I’m sure the rest of the state would like to enjoy those benefits.

Related to that, a couple of my favorite Assembly members, Leah Vukmir and Bill Kramer, introduced a bill called the Competitive Marketplace Act the other week. It will in one bold stroke wipe out that onerous markup mandated on not only gasoline but tobacco and alcohol, and also wipe out the very real competitive disadvantage Wisconsin retailers have compared to those just across the borders.

December 5, 2007

Light blogging – Target: NIE edition

by @ 17:56. Filed under Politics - National, War on Terror.

Ace has been laying lead on target all day today (I will not be responsible for the language in those links, but he’s on the mofo):

NIE Report On Iran Nuke Freeze Called Bullshit By… Hans Friggin’ Blix
*Bush* Lied? Architect of NIE Nonsense Testified *Five Months Ago* That Iran Was Pursuing The Bomb
Curveball: Defected Iranian General Source For NIE Claim of Nuke Freeze?

All that’s missing is the shot into Flock of Seagulls to break Brett’s concentration.

Light blogging, snowy edition

by @ 13:16. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Because I still have nothing of substance, I’ll point you in the general direction of how James T. Harris spent the second snowfall. Letting softly-falling snow hit your face is a good way to experience snow (especially if you have a beard to help keep the face from freezing). Hearing 27 shots and not living next to a gun range isn’t (and mind you, that’s on a snowy Tuesday night).

Light blogging alert

by @ 13:01. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Once again, I’ve got nothing ready to post. I’m wondering why I haven’t moved out to Nevada yet, what with max-effort tax increases coming from all quarters this year to match the reassessment boosts, from the city of Oak Creek, to the Oak Creek-Franklin School District, to the county of Milwaukee, to MATC, to MMSD, to every other property-taxing authority (“thanks”, Craps, for creating a meaningless “whole-cloth” number), and Gorebal “Warming” is smacking us in southeast Wisconsin in the ass (somehow, I just missed being in the worst part of the lake-snowbelt).

I do have some things I’m mulling over, but they’re not quite ready for…well, I would say prime-time, but nothing here with my name on it was ready for prime-time.

December 4, 2007

Q – Why do Islamists hate us? Half the Dem Presidential candidates – BOOOSH’S FAULT!

by @ 16:36. Filed under Politics - National, War on Terror.

Bryan at Hot Air has all the sordid details, including the audio, as well as a very thorough debunking of said loathing. I’ll “borrow” his summary:

"Because we are trusted so little" – Joe Biden
Because of "the bullying, selfish, abusive behavior" of President Bush and his administration. – John Edwards
"John’s point is right, but I want to broaden it a little. If you were a Muslim overseas listening to Rudy Giuliani saying they want to come over here and kill you, you would get the impression that we don’t want to talk." – Barack Obama
"This has been a vacuum for a long time. We don’t know their culture." – Chris Dodd

Allow me to offer a free bit of advice to the DhimmiRATs; it’s because we are not 110% like them that they want all of us, you, me, the guy down the street that doesn’t give a flying <expletive deleted only because I didn’t disable the pingback feature; it starts with ‘f’ and rhymes with ‘duck’> about politics, dead.

Here we go again – Congressional edition

(H/T – Bryan)

Back in February, the House had to cancel a hearing on Gorebal Warming because of too much snow. Now, it’s the Senate’s turn to cause a significant snowfall in DC by having a committee schedule a vote on a “cap-and-trade” on carbon dioxide emissions to shove Kyoto through the sphincter…

Wednesday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 36. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming east. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sykes Writes’ archives are back

by @ 9:58. Filed under Miscellaneous.

The last step to getting The Blogfather’s blog up to full blogging standards happened recently with the restoration of the archives. Congrats, WTMJ web monkeys.

Editor’s note; as you can tell, I’ve once again got nothing.

This is your 1-week warning for December Drinking Right

by @ 9:32. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Today is not the second Tuesday of the month, so you have a week to clear off your calendars for December 11. As always, a bunch of us right-wing co-conspirators will be gathering at Papa’s Social Club, 7718 W Burleigh in Milwaukee, at 7 pm on the 11th to prove once again…

It’s not about being right, it’s about being drinking!

When is a “current aide” suddenly a “former aide”?

by @ 6:57. Filed under Presstitute Follies.

(H/T – AndrewsDad/Ace of Spades HQ)

When said Democratic aide is fired several hours after being arrested for attempting to solicit sex from a minor:

WASHINGTON (AP) – A former aide to Sen. Maria Cantwell, D-Wash., was in federal custody after being arrested on a charge of attempting to sexually exploit a minor.

James Michael McHaney was fired Friday from his job as a scheduler for Cantwell, hours after he was arrested by FBI agents. The FBI said in court papers that McHaney is accused of trying to set up a meeting with a witness posing online as a teenage boy.

Does anybody really think that the AP would have used “former” had Cantwell been a Republican?

December 3, 2007

Iran stopped its nuclear program?

by @ 16:20. Filed under International relations, War.

(H/T – LGF)

Or so says the unclassified version of a fresh National Intelligence Estimate. I’m certain the Left half of the blogosphere, like the media already has, is seizing upon the opening phrase of the ‘Key Judgements’ section – “We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons
program;…”. Allow me to point out a couple of key equivocations.

The first is the footnote to that phrase – “For the purposes of this Estimate, by ‘nuclear weapons program’ we mean Iran’s nuclear weapon design and weaponization work and covert uranium conversion-related and uranium enrichment-related work; we do not mean Iran’s declared civil work related to uranium conversion and enrichment.” Given that the particular method of “declared civil work” selected by the Iranians is at the least approximating one of the popular methods used to create weapons-grade uranium rather than simply the much-less-militarily-useful reactor-grade uranium, I have to strongly question the claim that the program has been completely stopped.

The second is the phrase immediately following – “…we also assess with moderate-to-high confidence that Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons.” That is an understatement. Judging by what the Iranians have claimed about that “declared civil work” noted above, Iran has transitioned the semi-open portion of its nuclear program to a “turn-key” nuclear weapons program, requiring upon full implementation simply a directive to assemble nuclear weapons.

Interestingly, the NIE notes that the Iranians had spent “considerable effort from at least the late 1980s to 2003 to develop such weapons.” I don’t exactly remember hearing too much about the Iranian nuclear weapon program until after the fall of 2003. Related to that time frame, I also remember another WMD program not in a country that started with an “I” that very-publicly stopped, rather than the covert “stop” the Iranian program supposedly had, right about that 2003 timeframe, and that stoppage was directly attributed to a unique certain event that happened in 2003.

This part is chilling; “We do not have sufficient intelligence to judge confidently whether Tehran is willing to maintain the halt of its nuclear weapons program indefinitely while it weighs its options, or whether it will or already has set specific deadlines or criteria that will prompt it to restart the program.” Given that a possible American pincers movement from Iraq and Afghanistan undoubtedly weighed in on the “cost-benefit approach” the NIE claims the Iranians are using, given the kick-the-can-down-the-road assessment of 2010-2015 for sufficient HEU uranium, and given the claim that Iran was spending “considerable effort” on its nuclear program through the 1990s, I’ll guess that the election of a Democrat or Ron Paul would be all the criteria Iran would need to resume a full “Manhattan Project” program.

The laugh of the day, however, comes from point F, which says that the Iranians might use covert facilities, had in fact used covert facilities in the past, and stopped using covert facilities in 2003. Wasn’t that the assessment of North Korea’s nuclear program between 1994 and 2002, which was completely invalidated by the discovery of said covert facilties and their use between 1994 and 2002?

Revisions/extensions (4:48 pm 12/3/2007) – There’s a lot more linkage to the Right half’s react over at Hot Air.

December 2, 2007

Green Bay Packers – 2007 NFC North champs (almost)

by @ 18:57. Filed under Sports.

Revisions/extensions (7:02 pm 12/2/2007) – D’OH! I transposed Detroit’s and Minnesota’s division records, so it’s not quite official yet.

I’ll admit it; I was way the hell wrong about the Packers this year. I was way the hell wrong about Mike McCarthy (alternately known as E. Michael McCanthy). I was even wrong about Ted (Wile E.) Thompson.

Because the Vikings beat the Lions early today, and the Giants came all the way back to beat the Bears, the Green Bay Packers are our 2007 NFC North champions will finish no worse than tied for first in the NFC North.

1. Green Bay, 10-2
2. Minnesota, 6-6
3. Detroit, 6-6
4. Chicago, 5-7

The tiebreakers situation (direct from the NFL):

– Green Bay holds the head-to-head sweep against Minnesota.
Green Bay has clinched the conference record tiebreaker against Detroit (at worst a 7-5 conference record for Green Bay, at best a 6-6 conference record for Detroit; they would finish split in the season series, identical 3-3 division records and identical 7-5 records against common opponents if both teams finished at 10-6).
– If it is a two-way tie between Detroit and Green Bay, Detroit would hold the better division record (4-2 versus 3-3).
– Green Bay has clinched the head-to-head-to-head against Minnesota and Detroit (Green Bay would be no worse than 3-1, Detroit would be no better than 2-2, and Minnesota finished at 1-3). I am uncertain whether this would give the Packers the division or bring it back to a 2-team tiebreaker.

December 1, 2007

Stupid Pubbie Tricks – Virginia edition reversed

by @ 15:41. Filed under Elections.

(H/T – Allahpundit)

Wednesday, I brought you the news that the Virginia Republican Party was planning to have voters in its Presidential primary sign “loyalty oaths” promising to vote for whoever the Republican candidate was come November. Never mind (from the Washington Post):

Virginia Republican leaders decided yesterday to scrap plans to require voters to sign a loyalty pledge before they cast their ballots in the Feb. 12 presidential primary.

The decision by the 86-member Virginia Republican State Central Committee, meeting in Crystal City, came after a public outcry over the pledge and mounting concern among party leaders that it could drive independents and moderate Republicans away from GOP candidates.

The story goes on to note previous Virginia Republican efforts to require “loyalty oaths”. It would be interesting to see if the Virginia Democrats have had a similar bent. As I said before, if they can’t stand an open primary paid for by the taxpayers of Virginia, go to caucuses paid for by the parties.

I don’t think I can stress saying, “Watch what you say in the comments,” enough

by @ 7:18. Filed under Law and order, The Blog.

I may not get the traffic Owen and Jed do over at Boots and Sabers, but the warning still holds. Various law-enforcement agencies do read their blog, and I do get a generous amount of traffic, which may well include some of those agencies, that originates over there. One of those agencies twigged onto a comment left on one of Owen’s posts, and took very decisive action against that commenter. While I believe the authorities overreacted in this case by arresting that individual, it does go to prove that you are not anonymous on the Internet.

Related to that, I have updated the General Policies page.

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