No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for February 3rd, 2009

Modest?

by @ 5:26. Filed under Economy, Politics - National.

Commenting on the stimulus bill that was passed in the House and a variation of it that is being debated in the Senate, President Obama said there were:

“very modest differences”

between the bills being debated and what Republicans want in a stimulus bill.

I find that hard to believe.

By any measure, the bill that came out of the House and the bill being debated in the Senate are not “modestly different” from even Obama’s outline for the bill!  

You may remember that President Obama’s original outline for the bill was for a $750 billion bill with 40% of the bill targeted on tax cuts.   What has been approved thus far is an $819 billion package with only 22% of “tax cuts.”   Meanwhile, the Senate bill being debated, is $900 billion with 29% attributed to “tax cuts.”  

The “tax cuts” in both the House and Senate bill are sleight of hand at best.   The bulk of the “tax cuts” in the house bill are really one time tax credits and not tax cuts in any classical sense.   It’s easy to see the difference.   Where as true tax cuts change the amount of money a taxpayer has to spend on an ongoing basis, a tax credit is a one time event.   The problem with credits is that they do not change spending habits on an ongoing basis.   In fact, what was seen in last year’s rebate, is that a significant portion of the refund went to paying down loans or into savings and not into direct “stimulation” of the economy.   The increase in “tax cuts” in the Senate version is mostly due to a one year patch to the AMT so that it doesn’t drag more taxpayers into it….a “patch” that has been routinely done so it’s really not a true reduction of any kind.

Modest does not describe anything about either of the bills being discussed.   Not the size, the impact on the growth of government nor the differences between them or what Republicans ought to want.   The only thing “modest” in this entire scenario is the logic of those who complained about the spending by Republicans but suddenly believe that spending is AOK now.

Conservatism Dead?

by @ 5:04. Filed under Conservatism, Politics - National, Taxes.

Following the election of Barack Obama numerous pundits across the left, middle and squishy parts of the right, pontificated that the results of the election proved that Conservatism, especially Reagan Conservatism was dead.   The argument was that the American public wanted more government solutions, more regulation, more “fairness” and more social services.

A recent poll by Rasmussen  finds results that appears to run contrary to these pontiffs:

Fifty-six percent (56%) of U.S. voters say the Republican Party should return to the views and values of the iconic 40th president of the United States.

The response from Republicans isn’t surprising:

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republican voters believe a return to the two-term president’s views and values are the road to success. Just eight percent (8%) disagree.

However, responses from unaffiliated voters and Democrats were:

Among unaffiliated voters, 61% say the Republican Party should return to Reagan, while 23% think the party should move away from those values.

Even 29% of Democrats think Reagan is a good role model for the modern Republican Party.

Also surprising, at least if you believe that President Obama had some kind of a mandate to expand government is the following:

In his first inaugural address, Reagan declared that "Government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem." Fifty-nine percent (59%) 59% of voters still agree with him.

Finally, the survey showed that 57% believe that tax cuts are good for the economy while only 17% disagreed.

The findings in this report provide a lot of insight as to why support for the stimulus bill is fading.   It should also be something that President Obama takes to heart.  

Contrary to what has been whispered to  Obama, or what he may believe,  about the country wanting to move quickly to the left, it appears that Reagan Conservatism is still alive and well even within the Democrat party.

Can someone please make sure that Mitch McConnell gets a copy of the poll?

To paraphrase Twain:   Rumors of Conseratism’s demise have been greatly exaggerated!

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