No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for the 'Health' Category

August 26, 2009

The Killer Instinct

Large amounts of talent combined with training and technology have made it reasonably easy to field “good” teams in hockey, football, basketball or baseball. However, it is the rare team that moves beyond good and becomes dominating. The difference between the “good” teams and those that dominate their sport is one thing; killer instinct.

You may not be able to precisely define “killer instinct” but all sports fans know it when they see it.  Nobody left a Joe Montana and the Fortyniners game no matter what the score.  You knew that Joe was going to play until the last down of the game scoring at every opportunity he had.  Michael Jordan and the Chicago Bulls, some years of the Yankees and the Edmonton Oilers with Wayne Gretzy are all examples of athletes and teams that played with “killer instinct”

But, you say, this is a political blog.  What’s going on with the sports analysis?

As with sports, politicians are separated by the ability to have a “killer instinct.”  Look at Norm Coleman against Al Franken.  Ahead in the polls until he decided to side step ANWAR, vote for the stimulus and decide that he no longer wanted to run a “negative campaign” even though he had done that from day one until they day he changed with 6 weeks left.  Norm is the perfect example of a politician who not only didn’t have a killer instinct, he showed he had little political instinct of any kind.

The race between John McCain and Barack Obama also came down to killer instinct.  One had it and one didn’t.  You can probably figure out which was which.

Anyone paying attention can see that the health care plan is on the ropes and cap and trade may well be on life support.  The public, across all demographics except the extreme loons, are responding to polls with the equivalent of “I didn’t vote for Obama!”  We see early contests in Virginia and New Jersey showing polls that seem to support a significant and sudden swing towards Republicans.  Everything is pointing towards a significant resurgence for Republicans.  The question is, do they have the killer instinct?

Unlike the left who has never had any concern about “rubbing their nose in it” when winning, Republicans seem to have an inbred need to be liked by the other side.  The result is that when they get a chance to gain ground, Republicans often feel the need to “compromise” to allow the other side the ability to save face.

The Republicans (I use this term generically and certainly don’t mean all people who run under that banner) have gained ground, not through their own actions.  Rather, the Republicans are gaining in popularity mostly because in a two party system, they are the only other option.  While the Republicans benefit from being “the only other choice” today, I wouldn’t be betting my house on it sticking.  Based on the fact that a large portion of the general population are revolting against their political masters I think there is a fair chance that a “throw all the bums out” mentality takes hold if the Republicans look to cave on health care or once again become Democrat lite.

You don’t think the Republicans could be that dumb again right?  Wrong!

Rep. Thaddeus McCotter, a Michigan Republican Representative, has introduced a bill that would provide a $3,500 deduction for “qualified pet care expenses.”  The Representative is concerned of family hardships as a result of pet care costs during this time tough economic time.

How can any clear headed Republican think that providing a tax deduction for pet care makes sense when A: we have a hellacious deficit already,  B: human health care costs are subject to a 7% threshold of adjusted gross income and C: most of the Republicans and the general public are fighting to abolish further government intrusion into health care for people.  Does Thaddeus really think there is an urgency of any kind for the government (me and you) subsidizing health care for animals when we don’t want to do it for humans?

A stupid bill like this proves that Thaddeus McCotter does not have the killer instinct!  I hope to hell the rest of the Republicans have better political instincts.  If they don’t I’ll lead the parade for a third party.

August 24, 2009

We’ve Only Just Begun

After stalling for nearly a month, late Friday afternoon, the Obama administration leaked that their periodic budget/deficit update was going to show…..well, let’s just call it a deviation from expectations.  Rather than “cut the deficit in half as he promised, President Obama will reportedly tell us that he will increase the deficit by $2 trillion dollars to $9 trillion dollars over the next ten years.

While this new forecast is in line with what the CBO estimated back when Obama proposed his budget, it still seriously underestimates what the deficit will be if Obama gets his policies enacted. Obama’s two largest endeavors, cap and trade and health care reform were not considered in the CBO’s June estimate.

While it’s hard to tell what effect cap and trade will have on the deficit, we do have numbers from the CBO on the effect of health care reform. The CBO estimates that the $9 trillion deficit will increase at least another $1 trillion if the House bill is passed. I say “at least” because we now know that the Obama administration doesn’t have an accountant or an economist who either is honest or any good at their job. Doubt me? Just go back and look at the assumptions they made for the stimulus, the budget, cap and trade or health care reform and then look at what the CBO said. Who has appeared to be accurate?

I also say “at least” because there is historical evidence that the first year of all major government health programs have been significantly underestimated. Take a look at this graph from John Goodman’s Health Policy Blog:

health care graph

It turns out that regardless of the administration, government run health care plans always cost more than they are expected to. Why, you might ask? Well, if you’re selling something, are you more likely to tell the “buyers” what the best or worst case scenario might be?

Taking a simple average of the plans on the graph, it suggests that the government health programs cost 538% of what the original estimate was.  OK, let’s not be the Russian judge.  Let’s throw out the high and the low misses.  Doing that still has costs coming in at 414% of the original estimate. 

If history is any indicator, the $1 health care reform plan will cost significantly more.  How do you like the sound of $4 trillion for health care and a 10 year deficit of “at least $12 trillion?

Whether $2 trillion or $5 trillion more, I think this video pretty well sums up the public response:

August 22, 2009

This Little POTUS Poem

Obama Market

Obama Oval
obama iceObama none girlObama lied

August 21, 2009

Friday Hot Read part drei – MadisonConservative’s “A game of Monopoly – Health Care edition”

by @ 16:24. Filed under Health Care Reform, Politics - National.

Back in the day, I played a real cut-throat Monopoly. However, I wasn’t nearly as cut-throat as the federal government. I’ll let MadisonConservative explain:

Now, let’s say I’m playing with four other people. The four other people are normal monopoly players, playing by the normal rules. They represent private insurance companies. Now, I’m going to join the game. However, I get a different set of rules because I say so. I represent the public option.

First, in normal Monopoly rules, everyone collects $200 from the bank when they pass GO. Let’s refer to this as the capital that insurance companies get in order to run their business. They get it from revenues earned by competing in the health insurance market. However, for me, the rule is different. When I pass go, instead of getting $200 from the bank(customers), I instead collect $50 from each of the other players. Why? Well, the government gets its revenues by collecting taxes, not by providing competitive services. So, while the other players are collecting their money from passing GO from customers, I’m collecting my money from them. Their wealth is going down, directly leading to mine going up. Already, I have an advantage, because I’m the government. Guess what, though? Not only do I collect $50 from each of the other players every time I pass go, but I get $100 from the bank! See, the government doesn’t only collect taxes from businesses, but they also collect it from their customers! Once again, I have an advantage, because I’m the government.

Of course, there is more over at the HotAir Greenroom, so enjoy it. Do also read the comments.

Pic of the day – caskets for clunkers

by @ 9:50. Filed under Health Care Reform.

Via The Rumbler Report


Click for the full-sized pic

Of course, that doesn’t count the massive overhead built into the program.

This is Not a Question That We Think About

On a conference call on Wednesday, President Obama took on the “myth” that the House bill contained death panels saying:

Let me give you just one example, this notion that somehow we are setting up death panels that would decide whether elderly people would live or die. That is just an extraordinary lie.

(emphasis mine)

There is no such thing as a death panel, at least that’s what those who refuse to read the plain language and implication of HR 3200 will tell you.  No, the provisions that mandate end of life counseling are just one of the ways of “I’m from the government and I’m here to help!”

Folks, let’s be clear, call it what you want, but anytime you marry a limited ability to pay with an unlimited demand there will be rationing.  Some of it will be subtle i.e. long wait times, some not so subtle i.e. procedures denied.  The question is, would you rather deal with an employee of a health insurance company where you have legal and other options or would you rather deal with an employee of the DMV who tells you to shut up and sit down until it’s your turn?

Still not convinced?  Watch this video.  Pay particular attention to the question that they don’t think about:

H/T Dan McLaughlin

Do you suppose that proponents of Oregon’s government plan were telling opponents that a “death panel” was just an “extraordinary lie” as that bill was being debated?

“Is it cheaper to pay for someone to die than to help them live?”

This was the question that received the answer:

“That is not a question that we think about.”

Well of course it’s not!  At least not anymore than:

Is it cheaper and less inconvenient to murder this unborn child than to allow it life?”

Friday Hot Read part 2 – Maggie Thurber’s “Obama doesn’t get it – this isn’t a campaign anymore”

Maggie Thurber explains why the PermaCampaign that Obama is trying on health care is doomed to failure:

But that point aside, trying to convince people with the same ideology that you’re the best one of several to represent that ideology is much different from convincing an entire nation, the majority of whom claim no party or are Republicans, to join your cause.

Obama isn’t going to the opposing side and presenting his viewpoint on the issue, he’s handpicking audiences and ‘preaching to the choir’ and trying to re-energize his base. But that will only go so far as the vast majority of Americans are not in that group to begin with.

He’s still in campaign mode, trying to sell an idea, when the public would rather have the facts and the details – all the things they were too busy to bother with during the actual campaign. Now that Obama is in the White House, the public expects him to manage the operations, though he’s had absolutely no experience whatsoever in doing something even remotely similar. And now it shows, especially in how he blames everyone else for his failure in this regard.

As always, I highly recommend reading the entire thing.

Health Care townhalls a-plenty

by @ 8:41. Filed under Health Care Reform.

Since I am a consitutent of Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Janesville), I’ll list his listening sessions first (with the note that some, like the already-moved Kenosha one, may yet be moved):

– Monday, August 24
EAGLE: 11:30am-12:15pm, Village Hall, 820 East Main Street
NORTH PRAIRIE: 1:30-2:15pm, Village Hall, 130 North Harrison

– Tuesday, August 25
SHARON: 9:00-10:00am, Community Center, 125 Plain Street
GENOA CITY: 10:30-11:30am, Village Hall, 715 Walworth Street
PADDOCK LAKE: 12:00-1:00pm, Village Hall, 6969 236th Avenue
KENOSHA: 2:15-3:45pm, Gateway Technical College, Madrigrano Auditorium, 3520 30th Avenue

– Wednesday, August 26
WILLIAMS BAY: 9:15-10:15am, Village Hall, 250 Williams Street
FONTANA: 10:30-11:30am, Village Hall, 175 Valley View Drive
WALWORTH: 11:45-12:45pm, Village Hall, 227 North Main Street
DARIEN: 1:45-2:45pm, Village Hall, 24 North Wisconsin Street
JANESVILLE: 3:30-5:00pm, City Hall, Council Chambers, 18 North Jackson Street Craig High School, Large Auditorium, 401 S Randall Ave

– Thursday, August 27
ROCHESTER: 9:45-10:30am, Municipal Hall, 203 West Main Street
STURTEVANT: 11:15am-12:15pm, Village Hall, 2801 89th Street
RACINE: 1:30-2:30pm, Gateway Technical College, Racine Building, Great Lakes Room #114, 901 Pershing Drive, use parking lot D Roma Lodge, Roma Lodge, 7130 Spring Street

– Monday, August 31
BIG BEND: 12:45-1:30pm, Village Hall, W230 S9185 Nevins Street Big Bend Elementary School, Gymnasium, W230S8695 Big Bend Drive
NEW BERLIN: 2:00-3:00pm, Citizens Bank of Mukwonago – New Berlin Branch, 5450 South Moorland Road GREENFIELD: 2:00-3:00 pm, Whitnall High School, Auditorium, 5000 S 116th Street
GREENDALE: 3:30-4:30pm, Safety Building, 5911 West Grange Avenue Greendale High School, Auditorium, 6801 Southway

Meanwhile, my friends at Americans for Prosperity-Wisconsin are taking care of the folks in the 2nd, 3rd and 7th Congressional districts:

– Wednesday, August 26
MADISON: 6:30 pm-8:00 pm, Mariott Madison West, 1313 John Q. Hammons Drive

– Thursday, August 27
LA CROSSE: 11:30 am-1:00 pm, La Crosse Center, 300 Harborview Plaza
ROTHSCHILD: 6:30 pm-8:00 pm, Rothschild Pavilion, 1104 Park Street

They will be featuring ABC News’ John Stossell at all three townhalls, and they invited both the Representatives and their challengers to the respective townhalls. While the AFP-sponsored townhalls are free, they do ask that you register as they will be ticketed events.

Just as a reminder, Rep. Ryan also has a simple request for attendees, one that should be observed by all at every townhall:

A spirited debate on the future of health care and on the proper role of government in our society has come alive in recent weeks. I welcome the debate, and look forward to the 19 listening sessions and community forums I will be holding across Southern Wisconsin in the days ahead. I invite the residents of Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District to actively participate at these listening sessions – and to respect the fact that your neighbors may disagree.

The widespread disrespect, and even violence, from the extremes on both sides of this debate is regrettable. I am disappointed by the attacks leveled by the White House and leaders in Congress against those raising the legitimate concerns and questions raised by citizens. To hold a differing view does not make one a “tool of special interests”, and to voice those disagreements is not “un-American” or a sinister “scare tactic”. There is room for common ground on common sense reforms – but this will require responsible leadership to trump partisan gamesmanship.

My staff and I will make every effort possible to accommodate your participation and to ensure that your voice is heard. Anticipating larger turnout, I’m working to move some of the listening sessions to larger venues. The Kenosha Listening Session, for example, has been moved to the Madrigrano Auditorium at Gateway Technical College (3520 30th Avenue). Please click here for an updated schedule.

I’d ask that all attendees respect your fellow citizen’s desire to communicate with me. Shouting down your opponents at a listening session is not only ineffective, but quite simply rude. Arguments are not won by the volume of one’s voice, but rather the merits of the idea. I will work tirelessly in the days ahead to conduct these listening sessions with civility and respect for all views, and trust that the residents of Wisconsin’s 1st District will do the same.

Thank you,

Paul Ryan

Revisions/extensions (9:30 am 8/21/2009) – Corrected a typo introduced by me. Some days, I need a proofreader.

R&E part 2 (10:35 am 8/25/2009) – The location of the Ryan Janesville listening session has been changed due to larger-than-expected crowds.

R&E part 3 (10:47 pm 8/25/2009) – The Ryan Racine listening session has been moved.

R&E part 4 (12:04 pm 8/27/2009) – The entire Monday schedule has been moved about.

R&E part 5 (12:24 pm 8/27/2009) – I should have noticed that either the Greendale High School or the address listed was off. I do have a request in to Ryan’s office for clarification, and will update when I get it.

R&E part 6 (12:31 pm 8/27/2009) – It is Greendale High School. Meanwhile, maps to the Monday locations have been included in the updated post.

August 20, 2009

Breakin’ Up Is Hard To Do

Quick, put together a list of famous duos. Here’s the one I just came up with:

Sonny and Cher
The Carpenters
Lewis and Martin
Abbott and Costello
Fred and Ginger
Bergen and McCarthy
Siskel and Ebert
Murphy and Duel

Odd thing about my list is that while they were all incredible talents when together, the individual performers never seemed to rise to the same level of fame and accomplishment once the duos broke up.  This is especially true in situations where one of the partners died like Siskel and Ebert or Murphy and Duel, andlet’s face it, Charlie McCarthy was never quite the same after Edgar Bergen’s death.

I’d like to add one more duo to the list of “great when together but awful separately;”  POTUS and TOTUS.

POTUS and TOTUS were one of the most amazing political duos ever.  Focused, eloquent and convincing are just some of the adjectives used to describe the performances of these two. 

Who can forget their performance in Germany where POTUS apologized for America saying:

I know my country has not perfected itself. At times, we’ve struggled to keep the promise of liberty and equality for all of our people. We’ve made our share of mistakes, and there are times when our actions around the world have not lived up to our best intentions.

Or the night POTUS won the Democrat nomination and in Minneapolis, TOTUS came up with this unforgettable line:

this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal…

Sadly, like several of my notable duos, the incredible talents of this duo ended with the death of one of the partners; TOTUS.  We now know that like Peter Duel, TOTUS led a troubled life and on July 13, 2009, chose to end it.

What caused TOTUS to end his life? 

Through June, POTUS’ strongly disapprove ratings had not moved above the low 30’s.  On July 2nd, the strongly disapprove rating hit 35% and has been moving up since then.

On June 28th, Rasmussen reported that Republicans had taken a lead, outside of the margin of error, in the generic poll for the first time in a few years.

These events made it clear to TOTUS that despite his best efforts, POTUS was a complete loser.  TOTUS understood that it was one thing to be performing together in the carefully crafted and controlled environments of campaigns.  However, it was now a completely different challenge to try to perform together in the rough and tumble world of actually governing.  No matter how good TOTUS was, no matter how well he did his job, he understood that POTUS wasn’t up to it and was going to hold him back.  Worse, while TOTUS was handling his end of the act flawlessly, POTUS was the one who got all the adulation.

The final straw for TOTUS came on July 12th.  This was the day that Rasmussen reported that the most important issue that POTUS and TOTUS campaigned for, health care reform, now had more Americans against it than supporting it.  Seeing that this was the beginning of the end and knowing that he wouldn’t be able to convince POTUS to resign, TOTUS did the honorable thing and threw himself from the stage.

Since the death of TOTUS, POTUS hasn’t been the same.  Several times last week, POTUS attempted to convince Americans that the government could run successful commercial operations by pointing to the continuing loses of the USPS!  Over the weekend, POTUS said he wasn’t for single payer before he said he was for single payer before he said he never said he was for single payer health care. 

Clearly, POTUS has loss his luster.  As his polls and those of his pet projects continue to sink, POTUS attempts to maintain his swagger as if he was still in the halcyon days working with TOTUS; but he’s not.

It was sad to watch Sonny attempt to perform without Cher.  It’s incredibly sad to watch Ebert become gloomier and reserve praise only for the most obscure of foreign films, without Siskel.  Likewise, it’s sad to watch POTUS attempt to carry on.

When Peter Duel died the producers of Alias Smith and Jones attempted to bring in Roger Davis to fill the role.  The show only lasted another 17 shows and most of its fans felt it was a painful 17 shows.  Perhaps POTUS could learn something from Roger Davis.

August 18, 2009

Physician, Heal Thyself!

by @ 16:23. Filed under Health Care Reform, Politics - National.

As the health care debate heats up, President Obama and other Democrats have identified a new villian; insurance companies.

At a press conference on July 22nd, President Obama said:

“You know, there had been reports just over the last couple of days of insurance companies making record profits. Right now, at the time when everybody’s getting hammered, they’re making record profits and premiums are going up.”

At the end of July, Nancy Pelosi identifiedthe new villains with:

“They are the villains. They have been part of the problem in a major way. They are doing everything in their power to stop a public option from happening.”

These comments coupled with a House plan that looks a lot like an expansion of Medicaid and Medicare to all, would cause one to think that we should have some empirical evidence that shows that a government run option is more cost effective.  One would think that with nearly 40 years of history, the fine government employees that provide oversight to Medicare and Medicaid, and would be dramatically expanded to support Obamacare, would have been able to squeeze every last penny of savings from the existing programs.  If so, wouldn’t we expect to see particularly Medicaid’s cost or rate of growth, to be lower than private insurance?

Yes we would but, no we don’t.

A study done by the Pacific Research Institute shows that rather than becoming more efficient than private insurance, Medicaid spending per person has outpaced private medical spending by 35% since 1970.  If that isn’t enough to question government efficiency, understand that this study understated total Medicaid costs and overstated private costs for the following reasons:

First, my analysis doesn’t adjust for cost-shifting from Medicaid to the Medicare prescription drug program. Medicaid used to cover many of the costs of drugs that have now been shifted to Medicare. As of 2005, just prior to the Medicare drug benefit’s full implementation, Medicaid’s per-patient costs had risen 53 percent (rather than 35 percent) more than per-patient NHE apart from Medicare and Medicaid.

Second, my analysis counts the Medicare prescription drug program’s expenditures as part of privately purchased care, rather than as a part of Medicare.9 Because my analysis compares Medicaid’s costs to NHE apart from Medicaid and Medicare, this benefits Medicaid.

Third, it removes everyone on Medicaid or Medicare from the pool of patients receiving privately purchased care, even though a significant share of Medicaid patients’ care is covered not by Medicaid but privately — and even though, as of 2000, 32 percent of Medicare patients’ overall care (including
their Medicare copayments and Medigap insurance) was paid for privately.10 My methodology counts health care purchased privately by Medicaid and Medicare beneficiaries among the costs of private care, without counting its recipients among the people receiving private care. If privately purchased health
care costs are divided by the whole U.S. population, rather than by the population not enrolled in Medicaid or Medicare, then Medicaid’s per-patient costs have increased 54 percent
more than per-patient NHE apart from Medicare and Medicaid.

Fourth, it doesn’t adjust for any cost-shifting from Medicaid to the State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). When SCHIP began in 1998, many Medicaid beneficiaries were shifted into that program. Over time, this has saved Medicaid billions without representing any actual improvement in cost containment. From 1970 to 1997, immediately prior to the start of SCHIP, Medicaid’s costs rose 81 percent more than NHE apart from Medicare and Medicaid.

President Obama and the Democrats claim that by implementing the government option they will be able to drive savings and reduce the overall cost of health care.  The fact is that if Medicaid and Medicare had been held to a rate of growth equal that of private insurance, last year alone these programs would have cost $201 billion less, nearly a 25% reduction of what was actually spent.

Before government takes over private insurance, under the argument of cost savings and efficiency, we would be wise to suggest the old adage:

Physician, heal thyself!

August 17, 2009

But, Of Course It Is

Early last year as the endorsement battle was fully engaged, videos and quotes of Obama’s long time pastor, Jeremiah Wright, came to light.  These videos and quotes showed the man that Obama referred to as his “mentor,” was a racist and anti-Semite.  Although he had spent the bulk of his adult life in Wright’s congregation, Obama denied that he knew of Wright’s heinous perspectives.  When challenged about Wright, Obama responded:

He does not speak for me.

In other words, Obama and the compliant media which echoed his defense, were telling us that this was a problem entirely with Wright, or as Obama might say “This isn’t about me!”  Those of us who had our own ability to think knew that the opposite was true, it was entirely about Obama and his acceptance of Wright’s ideology.

After the Saddleback Forum last August in which he denounced late term abortions, an audio tape surfaced of Obama arguing against an Illinois statue that would require medical support for babies that survived botched abortions.  In his attempt to reconcile his recently stated position with the past recordings, Obama tried multiple explanations.  All of the explanations were focused on issues that other people had created.  None of the explanations had anything to do with Obama changing his position, misunderstanding the issue or lying.  In other words, Obama could have said, “This isn’t about me!”  Again, a reasonably inquisitive mind was able to see that the excuses Obama rasied were red herrings and that in fact, the issue was all about Obama.

If you do a Google search of “Obama “not about me”” you’ll find numerous instances in stump speeches, his world reunification speech in Germany and even his endorsement acceptance speech where Obama told people that his candidacy was “not about me.”

During his last prime time media love fest, President Obama refuted that health care reform was a personal issue for him saying:

This isn’t about me!

In fact, you might say that Obama’s entire national political career has been spent with him telling people “this isn’t about me!

Since that last statement, President Obama has inserted himself directly and personally into the debate over health care reform.  At town hall meetings in New Hampshire, Montana and now Colorado, President Obama has personally defended health care reform.  At each stop he couriously debates and defends what is or isn’t in “the plan.”  Curious because President Obama doesn’t have a plan of his own and repeatedly responds to the few challenging questions by avoiding an answer or by making erroneous assertions about what the House plan contains.  Even the USAToday, a paper that is not considered unfriendly to Obama, identified numerous Obama falsehoods following the New Hampshire townhall.  Many of these falsehoods were repeated in Montana. 

What are the results?  In the month since he claimed it wasn’t about him, Obama’s dream of a government take over of health care has been met with stiff resistance.  Since Obama’s personal involvement, Rasumussen Reports polling shows that support for health reform has fallen 5% and those who disapprove of health care reform now represent a majority.  In a new poll by Rasmussen, 54% of voters now believe that doing nothing would be better than implementing the plan that is coming through the House.  This is especially important as independents favor doing nothing by almost a 3 to 1 margin.

Contrary to his protests, the health care debate is all about President Obama. 

Obama came into office on the sweet spot of a wave.  Iraq, a sagging economy and a Republican party that operated largely indistinguishably from the Democrats, gave Obama a populace that wanted change so badly they were willing to give an inexperienced, opportunistic, job hopper a chance to play president.  In fact, change was desired so badly that neither the media or those who supported Obama, stopped to ask much about the details as to what Obama wanted to change.  If they had, they would have found that from the start Obama was focused on the takeover of the health care industry via a single payer system and the takeover of energy via cap and trade.  These two items were/are cornerstone to the transformation of America that he envisions and promised.

After moving through the House with relative ease, Cap and Trade is sitting in the Senate.  60 votes are required to move the Cap and Trade bill through the Senate.  With Kennedy and Byrd rarely in the Senate due to their illnesses, the Democrats would need to get 2 Republicans to side with them if they can get the other 58 Democrats to support the bill.  That is a big IF, and moving towards “not likely,” as the economy continues to struggle, the economic reality of the bill continues to sink in and global warming “science” is finding less and less support amongst voters.  In fact, Cap and Trade has lost so much momentum that even Democrat Senators are now saying that it won’t receive a hearing until next year….if at all.

Having Cap and Trade in limbo is good and bad.  It’s good because passage of the legislation would be disastrous for the US economy.  It’s bad because as one of Obama’s two major pieces of legislation, having it in danger of dying puts more pressure on the issue of health care reform.  As the only other major legislation, if health care reform fails it will relegate the man once held in messianic admiration to that of purveyor of just another mystic religion that serves no purpose other than to provide emotional highs with no ability to resolve anything.  It is this fear that has Obama personally engaged in the health care debate.

President Obama’s personal insertion to the middle of the health care debate is much like Kevin Bacon’s appearance towards the end of Animal House.  Standing in the middle of the melee and shouting “All is well.  All is well,” didn’t calm the public for Kevin nor will it for Obama.  In both instances the acts were those of desperation.  As it didn’t work for Bacon, neither will it for Obama.

With President Obama fighting to find new scapegoats to blame and allies for support, the path and outcome of the health care reform debate is far from certain.  That said, one thing is certain.  The next time you hear Obama, discussing any topic, say “This isn’t about me,” you will know without a doubt that after sifting through all of the obfuscation and half truths, the one thing in fact it is about is Obama!

August 14, 2009

Stuck-at-the-airport hot read – Ed Morrissey’s “Rights and Wrongs”

Yes, I missed the morning flight through piss-poor planning and preparation, which always results in piss-poor performance. However, that means I get to read Ed Morrissey’s latest column for American Issues Project, a historical look at why health care is not a “right”:

Rights cannot be confiscatory in a society that respects the individual right to property. That’s why none of the enumerated rights in the Constitution involve confiscation. Americans have the right to free speech, but they do not have the right to demand publication in a newspaper, nor do they have the right to demand that other people listen when they speak. The right to free expression of religion does not involve occupying someone else’s church and using it to your own ends. You have the right to keep and bear arms, but you do not have the right to demand free or publicly financed weaponry. All of those examples involve confiscating someone else’s property or services, whether done through the government or by force individually.

That brings us to the notion of the “right” to health care. As human beings, we want to see people succeed to the point where they can feed, clothe, and care for themselves independently, as that establishes true personal freedom. However, none of us have the right to confiscate the services of a doctor or nurse without their consent, and without their ability to set a price for their time and expertise. We don’t have the right to walk into a grocery story to demand apples when we’re hungry, either, although we should have access to the market without bias when we can properly compensate its owner for the goods.

I can’t put it any better.

August 13, 2009

Off the water just in time

by @ 23:14. Filed under Health Care Reform.

(H/T – DrewM)

It looks like I got off the water just in time. The Hill is reporting that President Obama is going to try his hand at fishing in Montana.

Speaking of being FISHY, Jim Lynch has a nice little graphic for those of us who don’t want socialized medicine…

August 12, 2009

Like A Rock

by @ 12:37. Filed under Health Care Reform, Politics - National.

After getting an earful of challenges on everything from health care to whether he was actually abiding by his oath to uphold the Constitution, Senator Arlen Specter had this insight:

“They (objectors at the town hall) may not be representative of America, but they are significant, and their views have to be taken into account.”

Respectfully Senator Specter, you need to get out of the echo chamber of Washington!

The latest Rasmussen poll shows that 53% of Americans are against the plan being offered by the Democrats while only 42% support the plan.  In addition, Rasmussen shows that 57% are opposed to a single payer plan with only 32% supporting one.

Senator Specter, not only are the concerns you are hearing “representative” of America, they represent the majority opinion of America.  In fact, according to Rasmussen and other polling agencies, the harder the Democrats push and the longer the public is told that they aren’t smart enough to know what’s best for them, the lower the support for any health care reform legislation goes.

In fact Senator Specter, it is you who is not representative of your constituents or Americans in general.  That said, there is something you have in common with the health care legislation.  The more voters hear about you or health care reform, the more they think you are a rock, as in “sinking like a……

August 11, 2009

Poof! You’re a Physician!

by @ 12:34. Filed under Health Care Reform, Politics - National.

As more people read and analyze the health care reform act, more and more potential issues are being raised.  Funding for abortions, procedures approved based on the patient’s economic value and elimination of private health insurance are just a few of the issues raised.  Any one of these by themselves should be enough to cause people to say “whoa!”  In total they should be enough to have thinking folks recognize that this bill’s approach to health care reform should be thrown out completely.  As important as any of these, and many others that I haven’t listed are, there is one issue that has received very little attention but if understood completely, should bring this house of cards called reform, crashing down.

Three years ago Massachusetts implemented its version of health care reform.  The program in Massachusetts is the closest real life experiment of what is being proposed as the national version of health care reform.  The plan requires nearly everyone to have health insurance.  There are subsidies for those who can’t afford the insurance, penalties for companies that don’t provide insurance and the plan provides insurance to illegal aliens, all similar to the proposed national plan.

Massachusetts is a blessed state when it comes to health care professionals.  In a recent survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation, Massachusetts has the highest rate of non federal physicians per thousand of population.  In fact, at 5.3 physicians per 1,000 population, Massachusetts’ rate is 60% higher than the national average of 3.3 physicians per 1,000 population. 

One would think that with such a high physician to population rate, access to health care would be easy in Massachusetts.  One would think that with a rate significantly higher than the rest of the nation you should be able to pick up the phone and get a medical appointment with little if any delay.  You might think that but if you do, you would be wrong.

A recent survey by Merritt, Hawkins & Associates looked at the average length of time it takes to get an appointment with various physicians.  The study looked at waiting times for several specialties as well as family practice.  It looked at 15 major cities including Boston.  The study found that of the cities survey, Boston had the longest wait times for getting appointments with physicians.  Not only that, but Boston’s average wait time of 49.6 days was more than twice as long as the national average of 20.5 days.  If that doesn’t concern you, the average wait time for a family practice appointment for a routine physical was found to be 63 days in Boston.  If you’re still not concerned, the study found that with the exception of cardiology, the waiting times for all specialties that were surveyed in both 2004 and 2009 had increased, in some cases substantially.

What’s the point?  Massachusetts has always had a high ratio of physicians to patients.  Relative to national statistics, Massachusetts traditionally had a small number of uninsured individuals.  Prior to the implementation of their health care plan, Massachusetts was estimated to have 10% or fewer of its population uninsured compared to 15% – 16% nationally.  If Massachusetts with relatively fewer new insureds and significantly high physician to patient ratios can’t manage to manage access times after the implementation of unrestricted health care, what does that portend for health care consumers if a national plan is implemented?

According to Kaiser Family Foundation there are 46 million people without insurance.  You can see the breakdown by state here.  Let’s assume that we now insure every person in the country with a national plan.  Let’s assume that to maintain existing wait times we will need to maintain the average ratio of physicians to population.  As a proxy, let’s assume that for each 1,000 additional insured we will need to increase physicians by the current rate per 1,000 (this is actually a bit low if you work through the math because the divider should actually be the insured people versus total population but we’ll allow for a bit of breakage.)  If we extrapolate that number, how many additional physicians will we need?  The following chart shows by state, how many additional physicians we will need to maintain access times:

health care

To maintain the same level of physicians to insured, the country would need to have nearly 144K additional physicians on the day that the health reform act became operational. 144K is an increase of 15% in total physicians. According to the Department of Health and human services, at the projected level of medical school graduations the country won’t increase the number of physicians by 144K until well after 2020. Even if we increase medical school graduation rates by 20% we won’t achieve the 144K increase until after 2020.

More frightening than the total increase in physicians required is the instantaneous shortfall that several states will have if the national health plan is implemented. Take note of Texas which will need a 24% increase in physicians to stay even, New Mexico will need 22%, Mississippi and Florida will need 20% and Arizona will need a 19% increase.

In free market economics the result of dramatically increasing the demand of a product needs to be met with an equivalent increase in production or an increase in prices that will remove some demand for the product. In the case of national health care, demand will increase, prices will not be allowed to increase so how will this work? If production can’t be increased or prices adjusted, the only other way to balance the equation is to regulate the demand, this is called rationing.

Folks, the math on the number of physicians doesn’t work. There is no way to dramatically increase the number of insured into the system, restrict or reduce pricing and not have rationing. Well, there may be one way to do it. Grab your magic wand, waive it and say “Poof, you’re a physician!”

August 10, 2009

The Lady Doth Protest Too Much

During the Bush leadership of the Iraq war there was a constant debate about whether someone could disagree with the war but still support the troops.  Invariably, those who thought they were able to separate these issues, when challenged, would fall back on some version of wrapping themselves in the flag and claiming that they were being called Un-American for protesting. 

Of course we all remember how the Democrat’s responded to any notion that the Iraq protesters were Un-American.  Perhaps the most publicized response was from Hillary Clinton herself, who told us that in fact is was patriotic to protest and American President.

In today’s USAToday oped, Nancy Pelosi and Steny Hoyer call those who are protesting the health reform bill “Un-American!”

In their oped, the two Democrat herders (they aren’t leaders by any sense of the definition) go on to say:

However, it is now evident that an ugly campaign is underway not merely to misrepresent the health insurance reform legislation, but to disrupt public meetings and prevent members of Congress and constituents from conducting a civil dialogue.

Interesting, it looks more to me like members of Congress who are not knowledgeable or are knowingly lying about the bill and members of Congress who are not willing to hear a dissenting voice from their constituents.

Next, Pelosi and Hoyer pick up the new meme of the left:

These disruptions are occurring because opponents are afraid not just of differing views — but of the facts themselves. Drowning out opposing views is simply un-American. Drowning out the facts is how we failed at this task for decades.

They then attempt to set the record straight on the “facts:”

The first fact is that health insurance reform will mean more patient choice. It will allow every American who likes his or her current plan to keep it. And it will free doctors and patients to make the health decisions that make the most sense, not the most profits for insurance companies.

Well, no it won’t.  As has been documented by numerous sources, your ability to “keep your plan” will end at the time that you change your job, lose your job or if any change occurs to your existing plan. 

Reform will mean stability and peace of mind for the middle class. Never again will medical bills drive Americans into bankruptcy; (it will just drive the entire country into bankruptcy) never again will Americans be in danger of losing coverage if they lose their jobs or if they become sick (at least until you get to a point where your future value to society isn’t greater than the cost of your treatment); never again will insurance companies be allowed to deny patients coverage because of pre-existing conditions (Yes, the all knowing government will now take that role.  Just try to appeal one of their decisions.).

Italics mine

Further:

Our plan’s cost-lowering measures include a public health insurance option to bring competitive pressure to bear on rapidly consolidating private insurers.

Um, nope.  The CBO says it won’t lower costs.  The state plan in Massachusetts, which is the most comparable existing government run plan to the one being proposed, has in fact increased costs at a rate higher than the national average.

Aside from their “let them eat cake” attitude, it’s hard to understand how Pelosi and Stoyer think their oped helps their cause.  With Obama’s poll numbers continuing to slide, Congress’ numbers hitting new lows, Pelosi polled as having the highest unfavorable rating of any Congressional leader and Rasmussen showing that a plurality of Americans support the protester’s efforts, the trend is clearly not their friend. 

Calling common, everyday people “Un-American” seems to be a hail Mary pass in an attempt to stop the public relations slide.  Given the credibility, or rather the lack of credibility that Pelosi and Hoyer have, I doubt it will help.  In fact, I suspect it may have the opposite effect as common sense Americans will view it in the words of the Bard:

The lady doth protest too much!

Oh, one more thing, you may want to consider reporting the oped piece to flag@whitehouse.gov as fishy, misinformation about the health reform act.  We want to make sure and keep the President informed!

August 8, 2009

Yes Actually, We Would Like a Meeting!

Another town hall, another Democrat melt down. Watch as Georgia Congressman David Scott goes on a rant because one of his constituents happened to ask him a question about health care:

Apparently, only people who agree with Congressman Scott can be counted as his constituents!

In this extended version you can see Congressman Scott lean to his aide to ask whether the plan asked about is the one being considered by Congress…he’s told yes. Apparently Congressman Scott hasn’t read the legislation either.

August 6, 2009

If the job is too tough, then quit

Now we have another congressman whining about actually having to read bills before voting on them. First it was Representative John “You gotta be kidding” Conyers, and now it’s New Hampshire Democrat Paul Hodes telling the editorial board of the Nashua Telegraph to get real:

Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes (NH-02) believes reading every bill in Congress “would slow down the business of Congress to a crawl and it would be hard to get done what needs to be done.”

Members of Congress who don’t read the bills they are voting on “is not necessarily the major problem with the way Congress functions,” he said.

Hodes, who is the sole Democratic candidate in the race to replace the retiring New Hampshire Sen. Judd Gregg, made the remarks during a recent editorial board meeting with the Nashua Telegraph.

“Hodes said it’s not realistic to expect members of Congress to read every bill word-for-word, as Congress took more than 2,000 votes in the session that ended in December,” the paper reports.

This year, Hodes voted in support of President Barack Obama’s stimulus package and for so-called cap-and-trade legislation. Both measures were finalized late in the legislative process and rushed to a vote before any individual member could read the bills.

I don’t know. Maybe I’ve got this whole representative democracy thing wrong. Am I silly to think someone I choose to run the government for me should actually understand the choices he makes, rather than push the voting buttons at random? By Mr. Hodes’ logic, why even show up at committee hearings to ask questions and hear witnesses? That’s got to be awfully hard, too, on the poor, overworked congresscritters.

Look, I don’t expect them to read every single bill that comes before the chamber, but on matters as consequential as a $787 billion “emergency” stimulus bill, or health-care reforms and cap-and-trade measures that aim to establish federal control over vast swathes of the economy… You’re damn right I expect Hodes & Co. to read and understand the bills, or recuse themselves from voting on it!

And maybe they should resign, too, if that’s too much to ask of them. Waiting

(via Hot Air)

On a related note, Iowahawk again turns over his blog to a guest-editorial, this time from Health and Human Services Secretary Secretary Kathleen Sibelius and Democratic Republican Democratic Senator Arlen Specter on a growing crisis in America – that America’s Government Losing Faith in Out-of-Touch Constituents:

Nowhere has this disturbing trend been more evident than in the recent debate over health care reform. Like hundreds of our fellow legislators and government officials, we recently traveled to a town hall meeting to distribute a grassroots press release explaining why this critical legislation is a done deal. Our advance staffs said that should anticipate a respectful, positive hearing from local media and bused-in union members. Instead we were greeted by a rude howling mob of idiot “voters” who refused to listen to reason, and ruined what should have been a killer photo op for our re-election ad campaign.

Have these arrogant ivory tower armchair quarterbacks ever had to live with the pressures of being a working stiff Senator or Cabinet Secretary in Washington DC? Have they ever had to juggle markup language on a supplemental appropriations bill, or deal with an incompetent Chief of Staff who constantly double-books fund raising dinners? Apparently not, if their whiny obnoxious chants are any indication. “Read the Bill! Read the Bill!” blah, blah, blah, as if we weren’t already exhausted from writing and voting for the damned thing.

Mockery. It’s what makes American politics great. Hee hee

(Cross-posted from Public Secrets, my usual home.)

August 4, 2009

Listen to What I Say, Not What I Said!

I pointed out yesterday the video in which President Obama states that he fully believes private insurance will be eliminated, in time, by the public insurance he is advocating.  Apparently this video caught the White House’s attention.

Later yesterday, the White House released a video intended to counteract the earlier video.  In this video, Linda Douglass tells us that the previous video was put together by people who are “trying to scare us” about health care reform.  She also tells us that because President Obama talks to sooooooo many people about health care it is easy to take a snippet here or a snippet there and present them “out of context.”

Hmmmm, “out of context.”

Would that be “out of context” like the President who told us that he didn’t agree with the positions of Jeremiah Wright’s black theology but when presented with a case in which he knew none of the facts he said that the white Cambridge police sergeant acted “stupidly?”

Or, would that be “out of context” like the President who told us that all important legislation would be posted on the Internet for several days before his signature so that everyone could read it.  Except that none of the important legislation has been posted before signature because everything in this administration is an emergency.

Or, would that be “out of context” like the President who told us he would not have any lobbyists in his administration and now the fastest growing segment of job growth seems to be back filling positions for lobbyists that have been hired into his administration?

Or, would that be “out of context” like Summers and Geithner increasing taxes even though Obama says no one under $250K will get an increase?  Oh, wait, that one hasn’t happened……YET

Or, would that be “out of context” like members of Congress and the President himself, telling us that many of the things that we read in the health care reform bill aren’t really in there but when those items are specifically addressed with amendments they are wholly rejected.

Folks, we went through an entire campaign with Obama telling us that what he said in his past is not who he was today.  Many people bought into that theory.  Some bought into it to the point of deluding themselves to believe that Obama would govern as a centrist rather than the far left ideologue he had always been.

If the video was really cherry picked and out of context, wouldn’t it be pretty easy for the White House to get the original video and release.  America has tired of Obama’s takeover attempt but still remains a country that understands a set up when it sees one.  Don’t hold your breath, the video won’t be coming.

I guess when it comes to what Obama really believes about private health insurance in comes down to that old saying:

Who are you going to believe, Linda Douglass or your lying eyes?

Update:  8/4 2:10 PM by ShoeboxSo, out of context huh?  They can make him say anything they want if they just take snippets huh?  How about a full uncut version?

H/T Drudge

Hide and Seek with Obama Care

As the protests heat up a new tact has been taken by several of the offending electing officials.  When confronted with specifics about the bill circulating in the House some members of Congress and President Obama himself, attempt to claim that because the bill is final the interpretations that people are making of the language are invalid because they aren’t based on “final language.”  “Things could change” seems to be the line that these Congressional folks want to hold to.

Not hardly.

Heritage.Org goes through the recent mark up by the House Ways and Means Committee.  As a part of their review they look at several amendments that were proposed, their potential impact on the legislation and the result of the vote on the amendment.  Each of the amendments were intended to specifically address one of the issues that the offending Congressional folks are trying to tell us “isn’t in there.”  Let’s have a look at a few.

  • An amendment was offered that would eliminate Obama care if people on the public plan had average wait times for medical procedures that were longer than for people on private plans.  The amendment was defeated by the Democrats on a straight party-line vote.
  • An amendment was offered that would ensure that illegal immigrants would not gain access to Obama care.  The ammendment was defeated by the Democrats on a straight party-line vote
  • An amendment was offered that would require members of Congress to forfeit their coverage under the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program.  This amendment was defeated by the Democrats.
  • An amendment was offered that would guarantee that HSA plans would be private plans that would be eligible for future enrollment.  The amendment was defeated by the Democrats
  • An amendment was offered that would keep abortions from being mandated as required coverage in Obama care.  A separate amendment was offered that would prevent tax money from being used to provide abortions.  Both amendments were defeated by the Democrats.

There were several other amendments offered, all defeated by the Democrats.

Funny, when challenged with their own language the Congressional cowards hide behind the notion that the language “could change.”  When challenged in committee to clarify the language and say specifically what they mean, they just hide.

What Else to Learn From CARS

I posted last week and Steve followed up here with things we could learn from “The Keystone Cops sells autos,” also known as CARS.  Today, another painful lesson is being learned in the CARS fiasco that can be directly applied to the health care take over.

CARS started July 25th, by last Friday it had been essentially halted.  The CARS program ran an entire 7 days.  Since last Friday government bureaucrats have been pontificating, arguing, pointing fingers, chest puffing and all the other things that bureaucrats do.  Bureaucrats have been doing everything except fixing the program.  The bureaucrats have now spent 50% as much time as the program actually ran debating whether the program should continue, in what form, how to fund it etc.  In the meantime, automobile dealers and potential purchasers are wondering when, if and how they may be able to get their deal done.

Roll forward five years.  Obama national health has been passed and we are in the second full year of its implementation.  Eighteen months into the full implementation of Obama care it becomes apparent that the budget Congress has allotted for Obama care is inadequate.  Let’s say that the amount needed to fund the program is double the original estimate (like what happened to Massachusetts Care) which means Congress needs to debate additional funding.   

Because the “solution” to the funding problem is not obvious on the horizon hospitals, doctors and other health care providers don’t know what will happen to their payments and reimbursements.  Because they don’t know how they will be paid they start slowing work or delaying admissions, a perfectly logical response and one which Medicaid patients have lots of experiences with to say that it does happen.

Finally, imagine you have a surgery scheduled.  Oh, it’s not life threatening.  You don’t have cancer, your heart isn’t about to stop.  No, it’s not life threatening, it’s just a kidney stone that needs to be removed.  How many days will you be willing to wait while Congress debates how they will pay your doctor to do your removal?

None?  Yeah, me neither.  That’s one more reason I like to have say in my health care.

August 3, 2009

Schizophrenic or Flat Out Liar?

President Obama continues to campaign for the health care reform bill.  He continues to tell people that he won’t get in between them and their doctor.  He tells people that this isn’t a government take over of health care. 

Just as the left can’t look at a simple document like the Constitution and understand the implication of plain language, The Kool-aid drinkers continue to argue about what the definition of is is rather than understanding the implications of the plain language of the health care bill.  Note the comment exchange on this post as evidence of the blindfolded obedience the Obamabots have given The Won in support of owning health care.

So, is The Won looking to take over health care or not?  The Bots say no, we say yes.  How about we let The Won himself tell us:

Huh, at one time he said definitely yes, today he says no. In my view that leaves him either as a schizophrenic or just your common, every day, garden variety liar. The sad part is that just like all of the numerous issues raised during last year’s campaign, the media will yawn and say “nothing to see here. Move along!”

Health Care Reform – Arguing Inconsistently

A day hasn’t gone by in the past two weeks, and likely won’t for several weeks to come, where the President or some other proponent of “health care reform” speaks to constituents about their plan.  While the specific arguments for reform that are highlighted may vary from group to group, an argument included in each presentation that by implementing health care reform, health care costs will be reduced.

In economic terms a “cost” is:

Valuation in terms of money of (1) effort, (2) material, (3) resources, (4) time and utilities consumed, (5) risks incurred, and (6) opportunity forgone in production and delivery of a good or service.

in other words, a “cost” is something that goes into making a product or service.  By definition, because a “cost” is a component of a product or service, the only entity that can make a determination as to what “costs” to include in a particular product or service is an entity that has control over the production of that product or service.

If you think about it for just a minute, the fact that you can only control costs if you control the production of the particular product or service is common sense.  If I want to buy a boat I can negotiate with the seller about the price I will pay for the boat.  However, no matter how hard I negotiate, I can’t impact the amount that it cost to produce that boat.  If I want to hire an accountant I can negotiate the price I am willing to pay for their service but I can’t impact what that person paid for their education or the opportunity value of their specialized knowledge.

Just as it is true that you must have control over the production of a product or service in order to impact its cost, it is also generally true that the greater control you have over an item the greater ability you have to control the final cost of that item.  If you make a component for the boat we discussed earlier you have an ability to impact the cost of the boat by making your component less expensive.  However, no matter how large or small the component you make you will never have as much control over the cost of the boat as the company who does the final assembly of the boat. 

Again, if we think for a moment, the reason the final assembler of the boat has the greatest amount of control over the cost of the boat is common sense.  If one of the component makers adjusts the price of their component to a point where the boat assembler believes the price to be uneconomic, the boat assembler can choose from several options including finding another component maker, developing the ability to make the component themselves or even eliminate the component from the boat.  Each of these options has the ability to change the cost of the boat and in each case the assembler has final veto power over which of the options will be chose and its impact on the final cost of the boat.

Along with reducing costs, there is another argument that gets made in an effort to sell the health care reform program; the government won’t get between you and your doctor.

Let’s think about that for a minute.

Earlier we determined that you can’t impact or reduce the price of something unless you have some control over it.  We also know that the ability to control the cost of something is relational to the amount of control you have over that something.  How is it then that the government will reduce health care costs but not have control over health care?

It’s not possible.

The only way for the government to “bend the curve” on health care costs is to exert control over health care.  There is no way for the “reformers” to reduce costs without control.  Oh, they may not employ doctors and nurses directly but they don’t have to.  The government can control health care by controlling how, how much and for what, health care providers get paid.  Worse, with an additional 10% – 15% being added to total expenditures, “bending the curve” will not get the job done.  In order to have a meaningful change there will have to be significant reductions in costs.  The only way to make significant changes on costs is to have significant control.

Two arguments; reduce costs and not control.  The two can’t happen together.  Whether it’s specified in the current bill or not, which of the two do you think will give?  I have my choice!

July 31, 2009

The LA Police Acting “Stupidly”?

Or the natives are even more restlesser?

Police called on retirees at senator’s LA office

What can we Learn From CARS?

I learned a lot working on the cars of my youth.  Through experiences, some coached by my Dad, I became a pretty fair diagnoser and mechanic  parts replacer.  I worked on them through the 80’s model years as things started getting more complicated.  By model years of the mid 90’s there was hardly anything I could get at without highly specialized tools, arms that had no less than 4 joints or an MBA in autos.  I realized that the job had gotten more complicated than what I could focus on or had time for so I turned it over to the professionals.

This morning it’s being reported that CARS, Car Allowance Rebate System or the “Cash for clunkers program” has likely run out of money and will be shut down. 

Didn’t the CARS program just get launched?  Yes it did!

The program launched July 25th and was expected to last until November 1st.  It appears that the money has been used so fast that what was supposed to last 90+ days, won’t last 9 days!  In typical government response, rather than saying “oops, we screwed up” they say:

“assess the situation facing what is obviously an incredibly popular program. Auto dealers and consumers should have confidence that all valid CARS transactions that have taken place to date will be honored.”

In other words, “we screwed up and are looking for a way to put lipstick on this pig!”

So what can we learn from CARS?

First, the government has no ability to guage, estimate and appropriately fund, even a simple program like CARS.  They had $1 billion slated for this program to support the sale of 250,000 cars.  There are 23,000 auto dealers.  That means that each car dealership was alloted the average of 11 cars to be sold under this program.  With $4,500 going out for each vehicle does it even pass the smell test that it would take longer than 3 months for the average dealer to sell 11 vehicles under this program?  Actually, I’m surprised the program has lasted 6 days with all of the advertising and pre notice their was on this program.

Second, the government really doesn’t know if they are out of money or not.  They know that about 25,000 cars have been sold under this program, they are estimating the remainder.  The estimation is required because there are:

large backlogs in the processing of the deals in the government system.

This is incredible!  how difficult is it to track these sales?  Beyond name, address, vin of the vehicle you traded in and the one you bought and verification of the qualifying vehicles (another story to be told as the list changed daily), how much is required? 

Finally, the solution, as with all government programs is not to say “we screwed up.”  The solution being proposed is to throw even more money at the government screw up:

Lawmakers said they would try to find additional funding for the program, which under the legislation could grow to $4 billion for the funding of up to 1 million new car sales.

The government can’t successfully administer a program like CARS but continue to insist that they can run the entire medical industry. 

The government can’t manage a budget of $1 billion but claim to be able to manage a budget that is at least 16% of our entire economy.

Finally, the government can’t develop a demand curve for a few vehicles, missing it by a factor of multiple X, but assuredly tell us that they know that they will only spend $1.6 Trillion extra to take over all of health care…Yeah right!

I learned through my experiences, that there is a time for amatures to step aside and let the professionals handle the job.  During this recess we need to be telling our Congressional amatures to step aside and medical professionals handle their job!

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