No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for posts by Shoebox.

June 5, 2008

Well Done, All Is Forgiven

by @ 5:00. Filed under Energy.

After nearly a year of battle, Union County, South Dakota has voted to change their zoning ordinance to allow for the building of an all new oil refinery.   If completed, it would be the first new refinery built in the US since 1976.

The zoning change was voted on by the citizens of Union County and won handily, 58% to 42%.   Those supporting the refinery pointed to the 4,500 construction jobs and 1,800 long term jobs that the refinery will provide.   However, before you get to excited, I need to tell you that not everyone is excited by the proposal of a refinery:

While conceding defeat, opponents vowed to keep fighting the controversial project on every imaginable front, pressing on with a lawsuit it filed against the county over the zoning procedures and opposing Hyperion as it applies for a bevy of state and federal permits.

If the people of Union County can rise up and vote common sense in over the objection of the greenies, why can’t we get it done at a state or federal level? Think people are fired up about this? Read the comments attached to this article. It’s clear that the opinion is running at least 9 to 1 in favor of the plant with those for being unusually intense about their opinions.

To the State who gave us the disaster known as Tom Daschle we say:

“Well Done. All is forgiven. Lead us to the promised land!”

 

 

What’s Wrong With Chris Matthews?

by @ 4:54. Filed under Presstitute Follies.

This is not the typical “Chris Matthews is nothing but a leftist hack,” complaint. I’m really wondering if there isn’t something mentally wrong with Chris Matthews!

In this video, Chris is talking with MN Senator Amy Klobuchar who is at the Barack Obama event in St. Paul Tuesday night. Chris opens up with a crack about the Republican convention coming to town and starting with a stop at the Larry Craig bathroom. OK, Craig made his bed (so to speak), he can lie in it. But next, Matthews makes a smart ass remark about the Republicans “celebrating the bridge collapse in St. Paul.”

What the hell?

13 people died as a result of that collapse. The FTSB’s preliminary report sites the cause as gusset plates that were under designed. They’ve further stated that they would not be caught as a part of regular maintenance.

Maybe Chris will be starting a one man comedy show entitled “Katrina, If you can’t swim, have I got a storm for you!”

June 4, 2008

Another Insight From The Holy Grail

by @ 11:25. Filed under Politics - National.

Oh, If I was capable of dubbing the video…

From Scene 17, The Tale of Sir Lancelot.   After the slaying of the party guests.

The original:

FATHER: Please! Please! This is supposed to be a happy occasion!    Let’s not  bicker and argue about who killed who. We are here today to  witness the  union of two young people in the joyful bond of the holy wedlock.  Unfortunately, one of them, my son Herbert, has just fallen to his death.

GUESTS: Oh! Oh no!

FATHER: But I don’t want to think I’ve not lost a son, so much as… gained a daughter!

Now rewritten for “The Democrat Holy Grail”…

Rewritten as…

HOWARD DEAN: Please! Please! This is supposed to be a happy occasion!   Let’s not bicker and argue about who killed who. We are here today to crown one of  our candidates and wish him well on his ascendency.   Unfortunately, one of them, Hillary, has just had a house fall on her.

GUESTS: Oh! Oh no!  

HOWARD DEAN: But I don’t want to think we’ve lost a candidate, so  much as….gained a messiah!

Monty Python Explains Why Hillary is Still in the Race

by @ 7:29. Filed under Politics - National.

I’ve got to bump this back to the top….it makes more sense today than on 5/24 when I originally posted it.

Ah….it all makes sense now!

H/T BooBooKitty

Just Bad Luck?

by @ 5:04. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Dye Packet or bad chili….you decide!

June 3, 2008

Another President, Another War, Another McClellan

by @ 5:23. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Scott McClellan has been receiving a lot of attention from the MSM since his “tell all” book about his experiences as press secretary. Of McClellan and his book, former Senator Bob Dole recently said “there are miserable creatures” in every administration who are spurred on by greed. I would add to Dole’s comment, ….spurred on by ego or a disproportionate self importance.

During  the Civil War, another President, Abraham Lincoln had a McClellan to deal with.   George B. McClellan organized the Army of the Potomac. He’s described nearly universally, as having a tremendous ability to instill discipline, organize and drill and manage supply logistics better than any of his peers. Unfortunately, while McClellan was great at building an army he stunk at using one.

Time and again while McClellan commanded the Union Army, he either allowed Lee and the Confederate forces to escape or chose not to engage them based on a repetitive, incorrect belief that he was out numbered.

McClellan was so inept at commanding the Army that one time, after acquiring a copy of Lee’s battle plan he bragged that, “Here is a paper with which if I cannot whip Bobbie Lee, I will be willing to go home,” Further, he sent a message to President Lincoln “I have the whole rebel force in front of me, but I am confident, and no time shall be lost. I think Lee has made a gross mistake, and that he will be severely punished for it. I have all the plans of the rebels, and will catch them in their own trap if my men are equal to the emergency. … Will send you trophies.” However, as previously, McClellan was unable to move his troops quickly enough to catch Lee. In fact, McClellan’s slow action led to the loss of the federal armory at Harper’s Ferry and further allowed a severely outnumbered Confederate Army to hold the Union off at the Battle of Antietam and eventually escape.

Like Scott McClellan, Gen. George B. didn’t seem to appreciate his position or have appropriate humility about it. In her book “Team of Rivals,” Doris Kearns Goodwin quotes Gen. McClellan as saying that he

received “letter after letter” begging him to assume the presidency or become a dictator. While he would eschew the presidency, he would “cheerfully take the Dictatorship & agree to lay down my life when the country is saved.”

George B. was known to make President Lincoln wait for up to an hour to see him. There were times where McClellan actually ignored the President’s presence altogether.

Like Scott, when Gen. George was released from his position due to an inability to perform, he decided to turn against the President he served. Where Scott decided to merely line his pockets via made up history, Gen. George wasn’t satisfied with money. Gen. George was the Democrat candidate for President in 1864 and ran against Lincoln’s reelection. Like Scott, Gen. George’s campaign was based upon a platform that railed against his former boss’s war policy claiming that Lincoln had passed up opportunities to broker a peace. Of course McClellan believed that because he had believed the South within their right to maintain slavery.

The reason I bring you this history lesson is confirm what Senator Dole said that “there are miserable creatures” in every administration. I think most of us understand that to be the nature of power and politics.

I wonder if we should change the lexicon of a turncoat being called a “Benedict Arnold” to simply referring to them as a “McClellan?”

June 2, 2008

No Value In one Year Forecasts But MGW Is A Lock

by @ 5:00. Filed under Global "Warming".

According to this article from the AP there’s no reason to pay any attention to the hurricane forecast for the coming year:

It’s a lot like Groundhog Day – and the results are worth just about as much.

is the way the AP views the forecasts.

In fact, it’s not just the AP who doesn’t think there’s much value in them:

The AP contacted the emergency management agency in every coastal state from Texas to Maine and asked whether these seasonal forecasts play any role in their preparations for the hurricane season. Their response was unanimous: They’re a great way to get people thinking about the upcoming season, but that’s about it.

The good news is that the forecasters have developed a bit of humility  about their work:

“Honestly, I think people get a lot more excited about it than I do in terms of what its usefulness is,” says CSU scientist Phil Klotzbach, who has largely taken over the hurricane work of Gray, now semiretired.

In fact, the forecasters are starting to use disclaimers and warnings that are longer than the ones on a pack of cigarettes:

NC State’s Lian Xie says in a boldface disclaimer in his 2008 forecast: “Results presented herein are for scientific information exchange only … Users are at their own risk for using the forecasts in any decision making.”

(Emphasis mine.)

The article goes on to describe the process used to develop the forecasts:

Hurricane-prediction researchers are like chefs tinkering with a recipe for the same dish, and working from the same list of ingredients: In this case, decades worth of data from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction.

Studying past seasons, scientists look for patterns that might explain why one year was more active than another. Teams have developed computer models that emphasize different conditions – everything from ocean salinity and rainfall amounts over West Africa to sunspot cycles and the influences of the Pacific warm-water current known as El Nino.

(Again, emphasis mine.)

Huh?   What?   The hurricane forecasters are using “decades worth of data from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction!   Isn’t that some of the same data that has been used to develop the “world is coming to an end” predictions resulting from global warming?   And yet, hurricane forecasters say that based on their data “users are at their own risk for using the forecasts for any decision making!”

This week the Senate is debating Warner-Liberman. The bill proposes implementing a cap and trade system to reduce our all but certain planet suicide as a result of global warming. Amongst other things, the Heritage Foundation has determined that this bill will:

  • Increase average family utilities by $467/year
  • Take 500,000 to 1,000,000 jobs out of the economy by 2030
  • Reduce GDP by $1.7 to $4.8 trillion by 2030

Hurricane forecasters  admit that  the results of forecasting using  NOAA data should be used  with healthy skeptisim  and not as fact.   Yet  both of our Minnesota Senators along with others, are willing to bet the future economic viability of the country on models and data that should be labeled “For Entertainment Purposes Only!”

 

May 31, 2008

MN GOP State Convention – The Plea For Unity!

by @ 12:30. Filed under Politics - Minnesota.

I attended the MNGOP State Convention yesterday as a delegate. I’m not as smart as Steve to bring a recorder and camera so that best I can do is give you some impressions and some short hand notes.

In some respects, the convention was pretty standard fare, lots of boring administration interrupted by a few speeches and the occasional entertaining give and take.

Ron Carey, MNGOP State Chair was up first with a message for UNITY. Unity seemed to be a recurring theme. Former Governor Al Quie, Senator Norm Coleman and others pleaded for unity within the Republican party. I find the plea ironic because as I surveyed the folks attending as delegates or alternates, I would bet that 95% of us agree on about 90% or more of the issues. Unlike the Democrats, the Republicans have adopted platforms that come back to the same issues of fiscal accountability, individual rights and keeping government focused on what it should be focused on. My take is that if there is a concern for unity, it doesn’t have to do with the bottom end of the Republican party. The “disunity” is being caused by the top of the Republican party.

A good example of the disunity caused by the top was a proposed amendment to the MNGOP constitution. The amendment would allow the State GOP to toss out a BPOU chair if that chair didn’t do everything the State GOP thought they should do. That proposal (which was soundly shot down) and the emotional supportive comments from Ron Carey did nothing to convince at least this delegate, that the State leadership understands the reason for disunity. I think the leadership believes the disunity has been caused by the fight amongst candidates i.e. Thompson, Paul, Romney, etc., where in reality, the disunity (to the extent it exists) is due to the fact that leadership does not want to abide by the will of the people who voted them into office.   A good example of this came in Senator Coleman’s acceptance speech.

Senator Coleman was unanimously endorsed by the convention.   However, I’ll tell you that his reception was not enthusiastic.   As Coleman was announced, a polite but tepid applause greeted him (I contrast this to Second Congressional District Representative John Kline’s later greeting which was raucous).   Coleman’s speech talked about eight key points that he thought should be focused on.   For the most part it was “motherhood and apple pie” items for Republicans until he started talking about increasing ethanol and focusing on fuel cells.   Coleman has been a visible opponent of ANWR drilling.   He also thinks coal is only good if it is in someones Christmas stocking.   As Coleman was talking about his “let’s live without energy” approach to energy, there was a very audible chant of “ANWR, ANWR” amongst the delegates.   Coleman never slowed down or missed a word.   His ANWR position and his belief in man made global warming are two significant issues that separate him from most of the Republican base and is a reason that we don’t have unity.

Another issue that showed leadership causing disunity was in how they handled the Ron Paul delegation.   As in other district and even State conventions, the Paul folks showed up ready to do battle.   I’ll hand it to them that they came with a high degree in enthusiasm.   Unfortunately, while they were loaded with enthusiasm they did not come loaded with parliamentarians.   The lack of a parliamentarian strategy left the Paul folks playing catch up all day.   As the Paul folks attempted on multiple occasions to suspend the rules to try to get their delegates seated for the national election, they were unable to garner the votes necessary to do so.   The Chairs were also successful in pointing to the adopted rules of the convention to thwart Paul efforts.  

Late in the day, after delegates had been elected, the Paul folks pointed out that the nomination committee did not follow the rules of the convention in determining their slate of candidates.   The specific point was that the rules required people intent on running for those slots to interview, in person, in Rochester with the nominating committee.   The Paul folks found that at least Tim Pawlenty, perhaps others, did not personally meet with the committee.   Now a reasonable person would likely say “no big deal.”   However, the Chair and state leadership had been pointing the Paul folks noses back at the rules all day as a way to thwart their efforts.   I can’t say I’m a fan of Ron Paul but I fully support their position of “either the rules are the rules or there are no rules.”   Unfortunately the state leadership handled this situation by simply ignoring it.   They never provided a satisfactory answer or solution for the predicament they had created….That’s CRAP!

I came away from the convention feeling less enthused for the bulk of the Republicans than I did going into it.   It’s clear to me that some of the candidates and much of the leadership does not yet understand what has happened in the base.   My impression is that they largely think that they know better and if you disagree you ought to shut up.

Last thought…The youth and enthusiasm of most of the Paul folks was refreshing, invigorating and much appreciated.   For the few folks who thought the way to voice your displeasure was to make repeated references to Nazi Germany….learn your history and then grow up!

May 30, 2008

Can We UnFolly Alaska?

by @ 5:35. Filed under Envirowhackos.

On May 14th, Secretary of the Interior Dirk Kempthorne announced that the Department of the Interior was classifying Polar Bears as “threatened” under the Endangered Species Act. The full impact of this action is still to be seen but advocates for the decision have not been coy about their desire to use decisions like these to further the claims of gorebal warming. Further, by having polar bears listed as “threatened” activity in their habitat areas will be much more vigorously monitored and likely severely curtailed. Included in this activity would be drilling for oil.

The folks who brought you the notion of a “threatened” polar bear are not happy with a one animal roadblock to oil exploration, they are looking to add four more. This article documents the new attempts to add four seal species to the threatened list for the same reason that polar bears were added, the ice is melting. Except it isn’t!

I won’t go into the nonsense about the magically shrinking (oh wait, it’s back) polar ice. There are plenty of articles to find on the topic.

Seeing as how we’re allowing the greenies to chip away any ability to drill for our own oil. And seeing that we have no viable alternative to the use of oil short of a return to the 19th century, I’m wondering….

Other countries have no trouble drilling for oil. Some would put a drill head right through a sleeping polar bear or seal if they needed to. If we aren’t going to leverage our investment in Alaska, let’s sell it back to Russia or even China. We’d get some of those excess dollars out of circulation and dump a bunch of real estate that obviously doesn’t have any value.

I’ll guarantee that if Russia or China owned Alaska, they would have oil rigs drilling faster than you could say “Bite me greenie!”

McClellan “Intrigued by Obama’s Message”

by @ 5:24. Filed under Politics - National.

I didn’t see the interview but according to Jonathan Martin,Scott McClellan indicated that he hadn’t decided who to vote for this year but was “intrigued by Obama’s Message.”

According to Martin, McClellan further said, “It’s a message that is very similar to the one that Gov. Bush ran on in 2000.”

I wonder what part of Bush’s 2000 campaign that McClellan finds similar to Obama’s?   Could it be…

Bush’s strong prolife stance?   Nope, Obama has even voted to allow late term abortions

Bush’s pledge to assign strict constructionist judges to the Supreme Court?   Nope.

Bush’s pledge to a strong military?   Nope, Obama is more the cut and run type.

Bush’s desire to improve educational choice through school vouchers?   Nope, wouldn’t wash with the NEA.

Bush’s campaign to lower taxes?   Nope, Barack wants those increased.

Bush’s advocating for expanded free trade?   Nope, Barack wants to kill NAFTA

Bush actually accomplishing things in Texas on a bipartisan basis? Nope, Obama has the most consistent liberal voting record in the Senate.

Oh, wait, I think I’ve got it.   As with numerous  events in his new book, McClellan appears again confused on the facts.   I think he’s referring to Bush’s 2004 campaign not his 2000 campaign.   In 2004, one of the Bush campaign slogans was:

Yes, America Can

which does sound an awful lot like Obama’s 2008 Campaign slogan:

Yes, We Can

I guess Scott is right.   Obama does sound a lot like Bush.   Yup, and Roseanne Barr sounds a lot like Maria Callas!

May 29, 2008

RIP Harvey Korman

by @ 18:52. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Harvey Korman died this evening, reportedly of heart failure.  

At the risk of sounding like my father, we’re losing the greats a day at a time.   The older I get, the more I appreciate the comedic abilities of people like Korman and Tim Conway.

In tribute,   a couple of Korman’s classic roles:

Hedley Lamarr in Blazing Saddles:

And Count de Monet from “History of the World, Part 1”

The Show Must Go On!

by @ 5:08. Filed under Politics - National.

In October 2007, Barack Obama quit wearing a US flag lapel pin that he had been wearing since 9/11.   Obama’s explanation at the time was:

I decided I won’t wear that pin on my chest. Instead I’m going to try to tell the American people what I believe what will make this country great and hopefully that will be a testimony to my patriotism.

While Barack has mostly held to not wearing his pin, it does show up from time to time. Interestingly, it seems to show up when he’s addressing groups who are generally known for their patriotism like a blue-collar group in West Virginia or Missouri or while touring a manufacturing plant in Michigan.

I’ll admit I’m a bit of a cynic. Maybe Barack’s flag wearing is just coincidence and not political pandering.

Then again, maybe not.

On Monday of this week John McCain criticized Obama for having been to Iraq only once during his term in office. McCain’s valid point was that he thought it was unfair for Obama to be making opinion about what was or wasn’t working in Iraq if he hadn’t been there since the surge, hadn’t visited with General Petraeus or with President Maliki. McCain, who has been to Iraq eight times, went so far as to offer to escort Obama should he choose to make the trip.

Barack’s response to McCain’s offer, given by his spokesman Bill Burton sounded vaguely familiar:

"John McCain’s proposal is nothing more than a political stunt. And we don’t need any more "˜Mission Accomplished’ banners or walks-through Baghdad markets to know that Iraq’s leaders have not made the political progress that was the stated purpose of the surge. The American people don’t want any more false promises of progress. They deserve a real debate about a war that has overstretched our military and cost the U.S. thousands of lives, hundreds of billions of dollars, without making us safer."

So, just like losing his flag lapel pin, Barack won’t go to Iraq because he believes it’s just another meaningless show. Well gee, the lapel pin didn’t stay off too long before Barack thought he needed to wear it again. Do you think he may change his mind on the Iraq trip?

WASHINGTON (AP)– Barack Obama is considering a visit to Iraq this summer, his first to the war zone since becoming a presidential candidate.
Obama revealed his plans to The New York Times. He has been under criticism from Republican rival John McCain for failing to visit Iraq since 2006. Obama also declined McCain’s invitation for a joint trip.

“I just don’t want to be involved in a political stunt,” Obama said, according to a report on the newspaper’s Web site Wednesday.

I guess he just might!

I’ve got to hand it to McCain, he put BO in a corner that there was no way out of.   If he didn’t go, McCain will pound him for making decisions without any first hand information.   If Obama goes he’ll be drawn and quartered by his own moonbat base…it’s a no win situation for poor Barack.

In honor of Barack’s trip to Iraq (and with Steve gone, this is the first music we’ve had all week):

What if I Fart?

by @ 5:07. Filed under Global "Warming".

Yesterday  out of the UK’s Daily Mail…

Every adult in Britain should be forced to carry ‘carbon ration cards’, say MPs

The influential Environmental Audit Committee says a personal carbon trading scheme is the best and fairest way of cutting Britain’s CO2 emissions without penalising the poor.

Under the scheme, everyone would be given an annual carbon allowance to use when buying oil, gas, electricity and flights.

What a bunch of pikers! If they were really serious about gorebal warming and truely concerned about the short timeframe we have to correct our horribly abused atmosphere, they would create and enforce carbon credits on food.

It’s a well known fact that between 10% and 30% of all flatulence is CO ².   With the dramatic over population that the greenies claim is already on the world, we must  surely be gassing ourselves out of existence.   Even Mrs. Shoe is nodding her head in agreement!

Here’s what I propose:

Every person gets a carbon credit card with an allotment of credits.   Older people will naturally get more credits each month because, well, our digestive systems need it.  

Carbon charges will be assigned to all foods.   I would envision a sliding scale with Jello at zero, baked beans and sauerkraut at 100 and everything else scaled in between.

When you go to purchase food, your card will have credits reduced based upon types and quantities of food.   If  your diet consists of lots of beef, beans and beer with ice cream  for dessert,  you’ll probably only be able to eat for a  week each month.   After that, you’ll need to either buy credits from the jello eaters or become a jello eater yourself for the rest of the month.

To ensure that no one is cheating on their card or getting black market credits, I propose we outfit vans with methane sniffers and have them comb the neighborhoods.   With all the carbon food cards connected to a central data bank, it should be easy to determine which houses have depleted their carbon credits for the month.   A whiff of methane from from any such house will result in an immediate  SWAT  engagement to remove any offending foods left in the house.   A second offense will have your family eating nothing but brown rice  for a month with aggregious offenders also requiring daily hycolonics.

Now if I could just figure out how to tax belching!

They Must Have Bigger Fish to Fry

by @ 5:01. Filed under Miscellaneous.

What kid, having played baseball or seen a major league game, hasn’t dreamed of being a member of the Cubs, Yankees, Cardinals or even the Twins or Royals?

As this article from 2004 describes, little league baseball has been losing popularity for some time. The ironic thing for MLB is that if people don’t play or follow the sport as kids, they don’t tend to pay attention to it as PAYING ADULTS!

I understand the value of a brand, copyright and all the legal stuff that goes with it, but wouldn’t you think MLB would be better served if they viewed this as “imitation being the sincerest form of flattery?” I’ve got to believe that the value in goodwill and awareness is worth far more than the few bucks the league gets from their licensing agreement with the “official” uniform provider.

It May be “Straight Talk” but it’s not “Straight Thinking”

by @ 5:00. Filed under Miscellaneous.

McCain: GOP base needs to get energized

Senator McCain,

If you really believe that it is up to the GOP base to get energized, then this election is already lost.

Senator McCain,

Energized bases come from leaders or movements that speak to the hearts of their adherents. Energized bases come from people who see the leader’s vision and see how that vision helps them accomplish the goals achieve the values that they all believe in.

Senator McCain,

I certainly agree that indiscriminate spending is a significant issue and did hurt the Republicans in 2006 and will continue to hurt them in this election. However, if you believe that that is the ONLY issue that is out there, you are either naive, willfully ignorant or worse.

Senator McCain,

In case you fall into the naive/uniformed category, let me give you a short list of why many parts of the base are not energized by your candidacy:

  1. ANWR – We are facing the highest gas prices this country has ever seen.   Many families are finding it difficult to find the space in their budgets for any further increases.   The issue with gas is an under supply of oil.   We believe we have one of the Country’s most significant untapped oil reserve in ANWR and would need an extremely small section of it to gather this resource.   Somehow you have determined that the small possibility that the lives of a few caribou  may be disrupted is  more important than the livlihoods of American families.
  2. Carbon Credits – Every day more and more sound science is coming forth shining light on the psuedo science that claims man is responsible for climate change.   Again, you’ve determined that you will support carbon credits that a recent study shows will significantly increase energy costs for each American family
  3. Borders – You said you had learned your lesson regarding open borders.   You said you would not support any “immigration reform” until the borders were secure.   However, just last week you were back talking about making Comprehensive Immigration Reform a top priority.   Which is it?
  4. Mortgage Bailout – You campaign for smaller government and accountability yet you support a bailout for mortgages that will increase the size of government allow individuals to bypass accountability of agreements that they have made.

Senator McCain,

The above list is not exhaustive. there are other issues where you have left many of us scratching our heads about where you are on the political spectrum.   At least for myself, the above list will not keep me from voting for you.    But, to suggest that I should be energized, when you support key policies that  would negatively impact my family for years to come, well that’s not likely to happen.

May 28, 2008

Update on SurveyUSA VP Surveys

by @ 5:30. Filed under Politics - National.

SurveyUSA released their VP polling today for Iowa. Tim Pawlenty continues his trend of finishing last.

I mentioned yesterday that Lieberman was polling better than Pawlenty. In an even more troubling finding, Huckabee polls best of the 4 potential Republican VPs, in all but one situation.

If the Republicans think Denver could be a disaster for the Dems, can you imagine what would happen within the Minneapolis convention if McCain were to select Huckabee?

Surely You’re Joking!

by @ 5:00. Filed under Global "Warming", Miscellaneous.

US nears record tornado year; meteorologists don’t know why

WASHINGTON (AP) – Another week, another rumbling train of tornadoes that obliterates entire city blocks, smashing homes to their foundations and killing people even as they cower in their basements.
With the year not even half done, 2008 is already the deadliest tornado year in the United States since 1998 and seems on track to break the U.S. record for the number of twisters in a year, according to the National Weather Service. Also, this year’s storms seem to be unusually powerful.

But like someone who has lost all his worldly possessions to a whirlwind, meteorologists cannot explain exactly why this is happening.

“There are active years and we don’t particularly understand why,” said research meteorologist Harold Brooks at the National Severe Storms Lab in Norman, Okla.

There’s something happening in weather that the experts don’t understand? You’re kidding me right! Isn’t everything caused by gorebal warming? Apparently not!

Global warming cannot really explain what is happening, Carbin said. While higher temperatures could increase the number of thunderstorms, which are needed to trigger tornadoes, they also would tend to push the storm systems too far north to form some twisters, he said.

La Nina, the cooling of parts of the Central Pacific that is the flip side El Nino, was a factor in the increased activity earlier this year"”especially in February, a record month for tornado activity"”but it can’t explain what is happening now, according to Carbin.

Carbin explained the most recent tornadoes with just one word: “May.” May is typically the busiest tornado month of the year.

That sounds like scientific lingo for “Shit happens!”

Gee, that’s pretty much what I’ve thought about gorebal warming all along; the most likely and accurate explanation for weather changes is “Shit happens!”

And I didn’t even stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night!

May 27, 2008

Karma is a B*?&H

by @ 6:00. Filed under Miscellaneous.

So says Sharon Stone as she explains why China was struck with an earthquake that has claimed over 60,000 lives. In Sharon’s mind, the earthquake was evening up the way China has been treating Tibet.

I wonder if there will be any condemnation for Sharon for her claim, the way there was after Jerry Falwell and John Hagge made comments about homosexual issues being responsible for the 9/11 attacks and Katrina respectively? Will the MSM and the  moonbats be consistent and cry for an apology from Sharon saying that this is a great human tradegy and to politicize it is in poor taste? Or, because Tibet is an issue that they are fond of, will they look the other way?

What’s your bet? I know where I have my money!

Scratch One VP Choice

by @ 5:00. Filed under Politics - National.

Included in names that have supposedly been on John McCain’s VP short list is, Minnesota Governor, Tim Pawlenty. Pawlenty’s name is on the list because he is a young, arguably successful and popular Governor who share’s most of McCain’s key views. While Pawlenty’s name comes up nearly anytime a “short list” is comprised, I think his is one name no longer on the list that McCain keeps

McCain held a barbecue this weekend that many folks were seeing as a “get-to-know-you” for potential VP candidates. Notably missing from this gathering was Pawlenty. Reports were that Pawlenty had a family event and that was at least one reason he wasn’t invited. I think that’s just a convenient cover.

SurveyUSA  has been doing a series of polls that will eventually cover 17 states. Each poll queries voters on their likelihood to vote for various combinations of McCain or Obama with 4 possible VP combinations for each. They’ve only completed 5 states but the results thus far aren’t good for Pawlenty. The results for Ohio, Virgina, California, Pennsylvania and New Mexico are in, and with only 1 exception, Pawlenty finishes last compared to the other three names polled. Perhaps the saddest part of this (for conservatives) is that Joe Lieberman is one of the VP names polled and he beat Pawlenty in 19 out of 20 combinations.

Another hit on Pawlenty is a recent Rasmussen Poll. This poll shows McCain trailing Obama by 15 points in Minnesota and confirms a poll done in April that showed a similar deficit. Some of the argument for Pawlenty being VP would be his ability to make Minnesota a competitive state and perhaps put it in the Republican category for the first time since 1972. If the Rasumessen poll is accurate, it’s unlikely that even Pawlenty as VP could close that large a gap.

It’s hard to say whether Pawlenty would really want a VP slot, opinions vary. If you get consistently beaten by Lieberman and deliver a winning margin only in New Mexico, it probably won’t matter if you want the job or not, you aren’t going to have it offered.

May 24, 2008

Why stop At Liza When We Can Have…

by @ 15:12. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Boy George!

Has Steve left yet?

May 23, 2008

It’s Time for a Game Changer

by @ 5:00. Filed under Energy.

What if I told you:

  • I could guarantee oil at no more than $75/barrel
  • We would have a 100 year supply at current usage levels
  • Gas would cost about $2.50
  • We could eliminate at least 25% of our foreign oil import
  • At $75/barrel, we could eliminate sending $67B dollars a year to foreign governments
  • The most it would cost US taxpayers is an amount equal to what we just paid for the phony stimulus checks.

Would you be interested?

In 2006 when oil was running about $75/barrel, the CEO of Jet Blue, David Neeleman put together a plan  to develop an industry that converted coal to oil.   The technology for this process was developed in WWII and was used by the Germans to manufacture oil as they were being shut out from other sources.   Following WWII  the abundant availability of cheap oil, along with lobbying from oil companies and environmentalists  caused various US trials and efforts towards commercializing coal gasification technology to be forgotten.

So why can’t we get coal gasification going now?   First, as you may have already guessed, environmentalists go crazy any time coal is mentioned.   The gasification process does release carbon dioxide (oooooooh, the boogieman of global warming!).   However, recent advances in cleaning processes have advocates claiming that they can actually make the process less carbon impactful than today’s burning of natural oil.   Additionally, carbon dioxide is used by traditional oil companies to claim oil otherwise unattainable.   The carbon dioxide is pumped deep into wells which causes oil to move towards the surface.   Once in the ground, the carbon dioxide naturally is reabsorbed into the ground.

The second reason coal gasification hasn’t moved forward is that it is economics.   Neeleman’s plan had an estimated cost of $4B per plant that was capable of producing 20M barrels of oil each year.   The estimated break even point is about $55/barrel.   One can imagine the difficulty of gathering capital to produce a commodity that has the significant fluctuations of oil.   Even in 2006, there were well known analysts saying that oil would settle back to $30 or $40 per barrel.   Neeleman’s proposal would be that the US government would guarantee the capital investment.   Ironically, in exchange for the guarantee, Neeleman’s plan offered a windfall profit to the government of 25% of any amount that oil went over $75/barrel.

Neeleman’s plan called for 45 plants for a total guarantee of $180B (this would be a guarantee not a handout).   With 45 plants they could replace about 25% of our current imports.

As with other solutions, coal gasification isn’t going to solve our energy problem overnight.   However, also like other solutions, if we don’t start, we’ll never get there.

It’s time for Congress to quit telling us what won’t work  or spending time on asinine pandering like voting to sue OPEC or degrading oil executives.  

If Congress took our energy problem seriously they would  recognize that for the forseeable future there are no alternatives to petroleum for transportation.   It’s time to take the Ben Bernanke approach, throw out “business as usual” and develop new tools that address the very specific issue of expanding supply.   Anything else is just wasting time.   Unfortunately, that’s one of the few things that Congress seems competent in doing.

May 22, 2008

Who Wants Gas Prices to Come Down?

by @ 17:26. Filed under Defending the American Dream.

…well, I do and I would guess you do too.   I’ll also bet that most people who have to pay for their gas also would like to see the price come down.   But what about our political elect?    Do they want to see gas prices come down?   This article today  from CBS Chicago says that for some of them, the answer is:   NO and HELL NO!

On average, the total government take on a gallon of gas is about $.40. However, there are areas where the state or local tax is not a fixed amount but is a percent of the retail value. The result is that as the retail price continues to climb, so does the tax that is paid.

Chicago is an area that has a percentage gas tax. As the article points out, tax on a gallon of gasoline in Chicago is now nearly $.80 per gallon. While Dick Durbin was asking oil executives whether they were ashamed of their profits, parts of the state he represents were charging nearly twice the national average for taxes. What makes this even more appalling is realizing that of the $.40 national average, the average for state and local taxes is about $.21. The combination of state and local taxes in the Chicago area are about $.61, nearly THREE TIMES THE NATIONAL AVERAGE!


One would think that with prices going up, the folks in Chicago might see fit to saying, “Hey, we could get by with just two times the national average,” and cut the rate by $.20 or so. One would think, but then, one would be wrong. See, there’s never been a governmental entity that couldn’t find ways to spend the WINDFALL PROFITS they may get…

And that, of course, is exactly the point for the politicians. Gov. Blagojevich, for example, is counting on the high price of gasoline to bring at least an extra $220 million in the State Treasury in the fiscal year that begins this July. Most of that will be used to balance the way-out-of-balance budget.

There is no solution to the creep (used as a noun and verb) and greed of government that doesn’t involve pitchforks and torches!

Where’s my lighter?

Why Are Oil Prices Increasing?

by @ 5:00. Filed under Miscellaneous.

The price of a barrel of oil has increased nearly 50% since the first of the year.   There has been much speculation as to what is driving the increase.   The drop in the value of the dollar, increased usage from developing countries, tension in the Middle East, speculators and numerous factors have been pointed to as causing the run up.   Certainly, each of these have impact on the price increase but I think one factor has been missed entirely.

Let me start with some background, in poker playing.   When playing poker it’s important to not tell your opponent what you have in your hand.   That seems pretty obvious.   What’s not obvious to most folks is that telling another player what you have in your hand doesn’t typically involve spoken words.   Good poker players can tell what their opponents think of their hands based on “tells.”   “Tells” are unconscious body gestures, stroking your chin, pulling an ear, scratching your nose or a host of other things that the player may do each time they have a good, or a poor hand.   A good poker player will identify and use those “tells” to determine what kind of hand their opponent has.   Based on that information, they know how to bet.

So why has oil been increasing?   The world oil market has been reading the “tell” of the US political system.  

Look at this chart that shows the price of Light Sweet Oklahoma Crude (it tracks pretty close to the NY traded crude)  by day of 2008.  
oil-prices

OK, this would be a lot easier if I could draw arrows on graphs but….

Let me give you the events of a few dates:

  • February 6, 2008 – Super Duper Tuesday and John McCain takes an early, substantial lead for the Republican nomination.   (John McCain is anti ANWR.)
  • March 4, 2008 – John McCain wins enough delegates to claim the Republican nomination.   (John McCain believes in man made global warming and wants to institute a cap and trade system to carbon dioxide emitted from the burning of fossil fuels including oil.)
  • April 1, 2008 – Congress grills Oil executives and threatens to remove tax deductions and impose other sanctions that will increase their costs

So what happened to oil prices along those same dates?

  • February 6, 2008 – Oil began a price increase that saw it closing above $100 for the first time.
  • March 4, 2008 – After failing to $105 for nearly 2 weeks, oil begins a drive that takes it to a close above $110 for the first time.
  • April 1, 2008 – The begin of the most recent surge that has seen oil move, in a near linear fashion, to above $135.

I’m not saying that there is a direct cause and effect between the outlined activities and the move of oil.   I am saying that the world oil market is getting consistent and repetitive  “tells” that the US government, at all levels, is unwilling to do anything to increase the world’s oil supply.   As examples, all of the remaining Presidential candidates have refused to drill for oil in ANWR and the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee recently caved to environmentalists and refused to expedited leasing for oil shale in Colorado.  

Worse yet, the governement  is giving “tells” that indicate that along with not increasing supplies, they will increase the costs of doing business for US oil companies.   Examples of this are the  Cap and  Trade systems being proposed by the leading Presidential Candidates and  demanding excess profits taxes on oil companies.   Markets know that the impact of these items  is that  impacted companies will either reduce the availability of their products or increase their costs to the consumer.

The worse thing a beginning poker player can do is let their emotions get the better of them and bet irrationally hoping that that will improve the situation.   The US has shown that trait with their multiple demands to Saudi Arabia for increased oil production as well as Congress’s passage of a bill that would allow it to sue OPEC for price setting and limiting supplies.   Both of these are clearly actions of a frustrated player who sees no good options in their current hand.

Until the US starts a new hand and resets the odds by increasing the world oil supply by exploration and development within US territories, the world oil market will continue to hold a royal flush.   If they hold a royal flush and know that we hold 5 unmatched cards, they will continue to bet into the pot and we will see continued increases in the price of oil.

May 20, 2008

Is You Is or Is You Ain’t?

by @ 14:19. Filed under Miscellaneous.

since late last year, the MSM has been gleefully reporting that the US economy was in a recession.   Never mind that the threshold has yet to be crossed, we were in a recession because they said so.   But are we?

“Imminent” recession may cost NYC 59,400 jobs: study

NEW YORK (Reuters) – An imminent recession could cost New York City 59,400 jobs between now and the middle of next year, with the profit-stricken financial sector the “epicenter” of the downturn, a new report said on Tuesday.

An “Imminent” recession? Even Reuters put it in quotes. I thought we were already in a recession? The real fun though is that this recession, which hasn’t happened yet, might, if it does happen cost jobs in NYC.

Let’s see if I can play the “create a catastrophe” game as well as the MSM…

An Imminent recession may cost NYC LOTS of jobs. If LOTS of jobs are not created or perhaps lost in NYC, taxes will possibly DRAMATICALLY decrease for the city. This DRAMATIC decrease in taxes might be enough to cause NYC to be unable to satisfy its general obligations and you may find that NYC DELCARES BANKRUPTCY. If something that dramatic were to occur, well, who knows what the effect on the overall US economy could be. In fact, if bad enough and if it rippled across the US we could find that in the extreme it’s possible that THE US DOLLAR BECOMES WORTHLESS.

But I may be a bit a head of the game:

Although the data are still too ambiguous to determine whether New York City is already in a recession, the report said the “Independent Budget Office is forecasting that a local recession is imminent, if it has not begun already.” No recovery is seen until the second half of 2009

Huh?   The data is too ambiguous to know if they are in a recession but obviously clear enough to show that they will be and, that when they are, it won’t get better until late 2009!

Wait, this sounds vaguely familiar….

In a New Climate Model, Short-Term Cooling in a Warmer World

I guess when you already know how the story will end, the interim plot points are just so many superfluous words.

Lay Off My Wife

by @ 5:39. Filed under Politics - National.

Barack Obama is complaining that the Republicans are targeting his wife in the general election.

Um, Barack, your wife is campaigning for you:

Michelle Obama campaigned in Durham before heading to Asheville. North Carolina will hold its primary Tuesday.

Not that I agree with Hillary often but, if you can’t stand the heat, get out of the kitchen.

If Michelle is campaigning, she’s fair game as she is telling people that they should vote for Barack based on her credibility.

If you want to keep her out of the campaign, keep her off of the campaign trail.   Short of that, welcome to the big leagues.

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