No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for posts by Shoebox.

July 14, 2008

God Didn’t Tell Him to Run

by @ 20:29. Filed under Politics - Minnesota.

Dang, Jesse Ventura told Larry King he isn’t going to run for US Senate.

In explaining his decision, Jesse rambled about all kinds of issues. The one that seemed to clinch it for him was that he didn’t want to subject his family to the Minnesota press.

As with all of his complaints about Minnesota media, Jesse’s shot tonight should have been pointed back at himself. The media aggressively and rightly followed up on stories about Jesse’s son’s escapades. Shortly before he needed to attempt a reelection campaign Jesse’s son, Tyrel was accused of using the Governor’s mansion as a party house in a tell all book by the mansion director. By the time this book came out it was already apparent that any positive that Jesse may have had, had ebbed from the memories of most Minnesotans.

Jesse told Larry that unlike President Bush, God had not spoken to him in his 57 years. But, and this is the way Jesse handles nearly everything, he left the door open that if God talks to him before 5 PM CST tomorrow, he could yet get into the race.

I’m going to be praying from now until 5 PM tomorrow. I’ve got enough stuff to talk to God about that it should keep Him too busy to get to Jesse.

You can thank me later.

Larry and the Loons

by @ 18:03. Filed under Politics - Minnesota.

For all of you who thought CNN viewers were in the tank for the Dems…guess again!

Larry King, Almost Alive, has Jesse Ventura on tonight.   Jesse has promised to tell the world, on national TV, whether he’ll run for Senate in Minnesota.

To honor Ventura’s latest publicity grab and ego pat, larry’s folks have a poll out letting you vote on who should be elected as Senator.   Remember that recent polls show Ventura at about 25% support in the state. Here were the poll results as of about 5:30 PM.

I’m sure glad they told us this wasn’t a scientific poll! I would have hated to see the A/P and Reuters stories retracted!

 

Nancy Pelosi – “Check”

by @ 10:45. Filed under Energy.

President Bush finally kicked a leg out from under the shaky stool Pelosi and her “DOPES” are sitting on by saying he will lift the Executive restriction on offshore drilling.   This has been an issue that the DOPES have been attempting to use to point a gnarled finger back at Bush i.e. “If he doesn’t remove the restriction, he’s not serious about drilling!”

Bush to Nancy, “Check”

Your move Nancy.   All of America is watching to catch a glimpse, any glimpse of what might pass for leadership from yourself and Harry.

There’s a part of me that is pleading that Nancy continues her obstinate ways.   It won’t help my family finances but that short term pain may well be worth seeing the backlash tsunami that is growing everywhere outside of the beltway.

Now I can Finally see “The Horse Whisperer”

by @ 5:49. Filed under Politics - National.

There are very few people whom I am unable to separate their leftist views from the rest of their careers.   While Hollywood is full of the hardcore left, I still see many movies that have well known lefties in them.   Heck, I even see movies that have Tim Robbins or Alec Baldwin  associated with them….I loved them both in “Team America!”   Robert Redford has been an exception to that rule for me.

Redford seems unable to separate his hard left views from his work projects.   This has become more evident as he gets older.   Perhaps the most egregious of his insertion of  political perspective was in his acting and directing of “Lions for Lambs.”  

Now however, I may have to rethink my position on Redford. I think we may actually agree on something.

In an interview over the weekend, Redford stated that if Redford’s Messiah doesn’t win the election in November,

you can kiss the Democratic Party goodbye

The facts are these:

  • The Dems should be walking away with this election
  • The driving force of the Democrats has become the extreme left, think DailyKOS and Huffington Post folks.
  • Contrary to what he wants people to believe since he eeked past Hillary, Obama is the poster child candidate of the extreme left.   Every position he took during the primaries (and that he still honestly holds) are unrecognizable to the vast majority of Americans, think late term abortion, gun controls, religious “clingers.”
  • Obama won the nomination with support of many new, untested voters i.e. young or previously not voted.
  • While taking in the new voters, Obama’s recent attempts to move center have left him “not dancin’ with the ones that brought ‘im.”

The point is that the extreme left is what the Democrat party has become and this election will be a competition about allegedly running away from Republicans and running to their ideology.   With the supposed built in “anti-R” sentiment, what message gets sent if Obama loses?   I’d say a worse message that what was supposedly sent to the Republicans in ’06.   If Obama loses, the left will have permanently alienated some portions of their core base and will never again see many of the “New Voters” who are involved simply based on emotion.

I’ll quibble with Redford in that while I think it would be a huge setback for the left’s ideology, Obama’s defeat, by itself won’t be “The End” of the Democrats.   However, if you add the gas price issue to the mix, and Nancy and Harry continue to tell Americans to “Pay more, Do less and Shut up,” I think the risk to the Dems could well be as severe as Redford paints.

Come to think of it, I may not change my position on Redford, but not because of ideology.   I can’t remember any of his films that I’ve been interested in since “The Sting.”

 

Apparently We Can’t Have it All

by @ 5:02. Filed under Politics - National.

Thursday of last week, Michelle Obama was in Kansas City.   Her speech, made to a group of mostly women, was focused on reinforcing the empathy that her Baby’s Daddy has for women’s issues.   As part of her remarks she said:

His own mother, she said at the beginning of her remarks, was “very young and very single when she had him.” And, Obama added, he has observed his wife’s attempts to reconcile motherhood with her career aspirations.

As Michelle is wont to due, she attempted to make herself appear “one of the club” by saying:

He sees me, his wife, who struggles every day with that guilt that we all hold deep in our hearts as women,” she said. “That guilt that you don’t have the choice to stay home, and even if you do, you feel guilty

Michelle, just another victim in a campaign and party full of victims. Michelle, so full of guilt from not having a choice to be a stay at home mom.

What the hell?

In 2004, the Obamas had gross income of approximately $207K. I’ve never heard that they had financial issues so I’ll have to assume they were able to “get by” on that income. At the time, Barack was still an IL legislator and a “Constitutional Professor” and made about $85K. Michelle was a hospital administrator and made, around $122K gross. After tax, they made about $167K

In 2005, things got much better for the Obama’s. Barack’s income rose to about $154K as a US Senator, Barack’s book brought them about $1,141K, Michelle made about $361K. Their after tax income rose significantly to $910K.

Even in 2006 the Obama’s did well. Of a total gross income of $984K, Barack made $157K as a US Senator and $551K from his book. Michelle made $333K.

If $167K after tax was getting them by in 2004, they would have had $743K of excess income they could have invested from their 2005 after tax earnings and $530K from 2005. They could have had nearly $1.3M invested from those two years alone.

Barack now makes $162,500 a year as a US Senator. Let’s bake in a little inflation and say that the Obama’s gross of $207K in 2004, would now need to be about $220K. To make up the difference between Barack’s Senator salary and the  inflated gross, they would need to take, let’s call it, $60K each year from their savings to make up the delta if Michelle chose not to work.

Wow! if they had $1.3M in the bank and drew it down at the rate of $60K each year, they could do that for 20+ years and not run out of money….even without considering interest.

Yes they could, except for this one other little event of 2005. The Obama’s decided to trade up a bit. They decided they needed to trade up to a $1.65M home! The result of that one transaction increased their annual expenses for mortgage interest and real estate taxes from $18K in 2004 to $76K in 2006.

I have no doubt that Michelle feels guilty. Michelle probably even feels guilty due to her choice. However, for her to suggest that her guilt is because she doesn’t “have the choice to stay home,” is preposterous and shows her again to be nothing but a pandering elitist.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not a neandrathal who thinks women should be chained to a stove. Women should make career and family choices that are the best for them and their families, whatever they and their families think that should be.

Michelle’s choice, was to buy an expensive house. Michelle’s choice could have been to be satisfied to live in the home they had, invest their gain and allow her to stay home with her children…if she had chosen to. If Michelle had chosen not to buy the big house, stay home and use savings…if they really couldn’t get by on $165K each year, the Obama’s would use about half of their savings as income supplement by the time their youngest daughter had graduated from high school.

Yes, Michelle had a choice.   However, unlike the claims of her speech, for Michelle, material goods and personal fame won out over her desire to be a stay at home mom.

July 12, 2008

Gas Prices are not All Bad News.

by @ 5:02. Filed under Energy.

Feeling blue about the increased cost of gasoline?   Don’t!   There’s a silver lining, at least according to this article:

According to a recent study by professors Michael Morrisey of the University of Alabama-Birmingham and David Grabowski of Harvard Medical School, as gas prices increase there is a decrease in automobile accident deaths. A 10 percent increase in gas price resulted in a 2.3 percent decrease in deaths. Automobile accidents account for nearly 40,000 deaths per year, and it is estimated the recent gas price increase to $4.00 per gallon could decrease automobile deaths by nearly 1,000 per month, resulting in nearly a 1/3 reduction.

Oh, but that’s not all:

A real benefit of increased gas prices is the potential for healthier lifestyles and a better environment. As people drive less and less to save money on gas, there is a potential many of these people will increase walking, biking and other activities as modes of transportation. Less driving also means less carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which is good for the environment. While to pain of filling up your tank at the pump increases everyday, it is good to know there may be benefits associated with the rise in gas prices.

So rising gas prices are good for us? Gee, it doesn’t feel so good!

If these folks are happy that we have fewer traffic deaths because we can’t afford to drive as much, they’d be ecstatic if the price went to a point where cars became obsolete! At that point there would be zero deaths!

If removing all risk of death is the means by which we measure what’s good for America, let me see if I can offer some policy suggestions.

  • There are 350 deaths each year caused by a machine.   If we can get the cost of energy high enough we won’t be able to manufacture or operate any more of these killers!
  • There are 500 deaths from Medical & Surgical Complications and Misadventures each year.   Rather than going to Universal Health Care we should abolish all health care so that we don’t lose one more person to these completely avoidable tragedies.
  • 3,300 people die from suffocation each year.   Most of these deaths mostly resulted from blockages of the respiratory system by food or other objects.   I propose that we prohibit all ingesting of food or any other substance, that should help!
  • 3,700 people die from fires and burns each year.   This one is easy to fix.   As soon as the Envirowhackos eliminate all sources of energy and implement carbon credits, there will no longer be any means or allowance to have a fire….all burns are gone!
  • 4,000 drownings occur each year.   I propose no more swimming or baths.   Heck, Barack wants us to be more like the French.   We could start by smelling more like them!
  • 14,900 people die of falls each year.   I propose we mandate that no building be more than 1 story.   I have no idea how we’d all manage to live within walking distance of the major down towns once all transportation has been eliminated, but that’s not my concern.   I’m only trying to eliminate deaths!

Actually, in the minds of the extreme left, the best solution would be to abort all babies and never reproduce.   While it might take 100 or so years, eventually all humanity would cease to exist on the earth.   From their point of view this would be the optimal…no more deaths plus the earth would once again be its pristine self.

July 11, 2008

ANWR – A Scenic Treasure?

by @ 11:39. Filed under Energy.

I’ve been searching for a video like this one. If you have any concerns about “spoiling the natural beauty” of ANWR, watch:

Perhaps John McCain would like to explain how exactly this compares to drilling in the Grand Canyon?

I appreciate McCain’s desire to drill offshore. However, ANWR is still a lighting rod for the gas price issue. You can see the Dems slipping on their refusal that this is a supply problem. I hope McCain takes this entire issue and builds a practical not theoretical line between himself and Obama. John McCain should support drilling in all areas, especially those that are proven, and make Obama come to him on this issue!

H/T Bill Dupray

My “Worst of the Best” list

by @ 7:53. Filed under Miscellaneous.

I again filled all 10 slots.   Like Steve, I had a few others on the “Honorable Mention” list but tried not to violate the desire of the poll.   Here it is:

Chuck Hagel
Olympia Snowe
Susan Collins
Ted Stevens
Wayne Gilchrist
Christopher Shays
Michael Castle
Jim Ramstad (a MN Congresscritter who is retiring this year!)
Arlen Specter
Charlie Crist

Digging Up an Unrequited Love?

by @ 5:14. Filed under Lawgivers-In-Black.

Here’s a story I was going to leave alone.    But after hearing a talk radio show carry on about it, I decided to chime in. From the Chicago Tribune:

Laura Tennessen case leads Wisconsin to outlaw necrophilia

Now first, let me be very clear that I do not, nor have I ever, endorsed necrophilia.   Although, when I saw a picture of the perps I can certainly see why they resorted to it as  a dead woman  would be the only woman they could get near.

As I said, I heard a bunch of carrying on at a local talk radio show.   The gist of the issue for the announcer was that the two dissenting judges were complete idiots for thinking that having sex with a dead person was ok.   The problem is, that’s not what the dissenting judges were saying.

The two dissenting judges argued that the law as written did not apply to necrophilia.   if you read the statute, Wis. Stat. Ann. § 940.225. Sexual assault, you’ll note that throughout the statute it refers to “person” in a context that assumes the crimes occurred with a person who was alive at some point of the act.   Not until the end of the statute do you see this:

(7) DEATH OF VICTIM. This section applies whether a victim is
dead or alive at the time of the sexual contact or sexual intercourse.

The dissenting judges argued that the statue was intended to allow prosecution of a crime where the victim died during the crime or it was impossible to determine when during the crime, the individual died.

The problem that I have with the ruling is two fold. First, the language of the bill is at best, ambiguous. In a 2002 ruling, the Wisconsin Supreme Court talked about ambigous language and how it should interpret law if it exists in a statute:

In contrast, if the language of the statute is ambiguous, the court must resort to judicial construction. Id. at ¶15 (citing Kelley Co. v. Marquardt, 172 Wis. 2d 234, 247-48, 493 N.W.2d 68 (1992)). A statute is ambiguous if it is capable of being understood by a reasonable person in either of two senses. Reyes v. Greatway Ins. Co., 227 Wis. 2d 357, 365, 597 N.W.2d 687 (1999). A statute is not rendered ambiguous, however, merely because two parties disagree as to its meaning. Forest County v. Goode, 219 Wis. 2d 654, 663, 579 N.W.2d 715 (1998). If the statute is ambiguous, we then look to extrinsic factors, including legislative history, and the statute’s scope, context and subject matter, to determine the intent of the legislature. Landis, 2001 WI 86, ¶15.

In fact, even in the current opinion, the Court recognizes there are times where they should look past the plain language of the bill:

While extrinsic sources are usually not consulted if the statutory language bears a plain meaning, we nevertheless may consult extrinsic sources “to confirm or verify a plainmeaning
interpretation

While they did look back at the Legislative notes on the original bill, they focused on what they wanted to see rather than what the “plan meaning” of the Legislative notes were.

Secondly, the same 2002 ruling dealt with what the definition of what a “person” was and the Supreme Court addressed that issue with detail in that decision.

The majority opinion in this case did not address what a “person” is i.e. is a “person” a live person? if not, did the Wisconsin Supreme Court just open the door for a fetus to be a “person?”

In the end, the majority opinion was derisive of those who didn’t see the “plain meaning” of the language:

A reasonably well-informed person would understand the statute to prohibit sexual intercourse with a dead person

Does that mean that the two dissenting judges are imbeciles?

If the statute was so clear that a “reasonably well-informed person would understand the statute,” why did two lower courts hold otherwise and why did the Wisconsin Legislature spend time on a bill to specifically make necrophilia a crime? Are they all idiots?

I end up agreeing with the dissenting opinion on how the majority reached its conclusion:

The majority reaches a desired result through an undesirable analysis. I acknowledge that this is heinous conduct and good public policy would indicate that this conduct should be criminalized.

In short, it appears that the majority knew what they wanted the outcome to be and interepreted the case to conform with that conclusion rather than interpret the law and turn it back to the legislature for clarification, if necessary.

OK, I’ll admit, I’m not laying awake at night worrying about the next necrophilia case in Wisconsin. However, this is a situation where Conservatives need to be consistent.   misuse of a court’s authority, even if the end result is one that  you agree with,  is a lot like lying; if you get away with it the first time, on a small issue, it’s easier to do it the next time with a bigger issue and the time after that with an even larger issue. If left unchecked this could eventually lead to a court writing Constitutional provisions out of whole cloth!

What? That’s already happened?

July 10, 2008

The “Fair Act” for Congress Persons?

by @ 16:46. Filed under Miscellaneous.

As reported yesterday here on RedState, Congressional Democratic leaders, who promised in 2006 to create a more “open” government, are now proposing a new rule that would prevent Members of Congress from using the Internet to communicate with the American people unless the Web site they are using has been “approved” by a panel responsible for creating internal House rules.

Millions of Americans, and hundreds of Representatives — including myself — use video-sharing Web sites like YouTube, personal blogs, and online community sites like Red State to keep track of what is going on in Congress, to provide constituents with information and insight, and to build and foster communication between elected representatives and the American people.

The Internet and the New Media have made Congress more transparent, sometimes against its will, and have better empowered Americans to hold elected officials accountable for their actions, statements, decisions, and votes. Instead of embracing and working to further this new level of openness and transparency, as they promised when they were candidates for office, Democratic leaders are fighting to close the new lines of communication between politicians and the people that the Internet has opened.

Please read on.

As the Directors said yesterday, "Congressmen should be able to decide for themselves where and how they interact with their constituents and the American people." Using such Orwellian tactics to limit our contact with you the people, and vice versa, only serves to make government more secretive and less transparent – which is the exact opposite of what the Democratic leadership promised to do when elected.

Please take a moment and sign the petition on my Web site. Tell the Democratic Congressional leadership that preventing elected representatives from communicating with the American people will not stand.

The post was written by Congressman Mike Conaway on the Redstate.com site. He’s working to make sure that the “new media” remains available for Congress to use for communications. I don’t typically do direct copy and pastes of articles but this one is important. Click the link and sign the petition. The Dems have done some stupid stuff and this ranks up amongst the worst!

My Favorite Republicans

by @ 11:57. Filed under Miscellaneous.

Here was my list.   I went with the full boat of 10.   In no particular order…

Bobby Jindal
Sarah Palin
John Kline (My CongressCritter)
Michelle Bachmann (the only other solid MN CongressCritter
Jeff Sessions
James Inhofe
Jeff Flake
Jim DeMint
Tom Coburn
Mike Pence

Run Jesse, Run!

by @ 5:48. Filed under Politics - National.

With just a few days left to file for a possible Senate run, Jesse Ventura is playing coy with the media about his true intent.

In a morning report from NPR, Jesse seemed to be providing the latest inkling that he was going to enter the race:

That’s the reason I run. Not to sell books. I run because it angers me,” Ventura says.

and

All you Minnesotans, take a good hard look at all three of us. And you decide, if you were in a dark alley, which one of the three of us would you want with you.

Of course, as Jesse is prone to do, later in the day he told people the press didn’t get his quotes right:

I gave [NPR] the reasons why I would run,” Ventura said. “But I said ultimately, it will come down to whether I want to change my lifestyle and go to that lifestyle or not.

As I’ve said before, I would really like to see Jesse run. If he actually files I won’t have any problem finding things to write about until mid November!

That said, I went back and looked at the most recent poll from Rasmussen  showing a three way Minnesota Senate race. The short take on the poll shows Coleman winning a three way race and Jesse taking more from Franken than Coleman. In fact, with Franken’s ongoing revelations of “oops I forgot,” I wouldn’t be surprised that Franken goes further down as more of his support gives up on him and moves to Jesse who is really Dem lite. The revelation in my latest look at the poll is in the favorable/unfavorable ratings for each of the candidates.

The voting percentages for each of the candidates is roughly equal to 100% of their “very favorable” percentage and about 1/2 of their somewhat favorable percentage. This obviously works in Coleman’s favor as he has a total favorable of 51%. We’ve known for a while that Franken is a very unhappy man and it appears that Minnesotans recognize that in that 50% say they have an unfavorable opinion of him. The “revelation” was in looking at Ventura’s. Ventura’s unfavorable rating is 62%! and 38% have a Very Unfavorable rating of him!

In today’s NPR report, University of Minnesota political scientist Lawrence Jacobs says Ventura could win:

He’s coming in with about a quarter of the vote, and he’s not even declared his candidacy. That is much better than where he was in 1998, where he started off in single digits and frankly was a joke candidate

Jesse may be starting from a better place but today, unlike his last run, people in Minnesota know Jesse. For Jesse to win he would need to convince a lot of people that the charicature that was Jesse as Governor is no longer the charicature that would be a Senator. That will take A LOT of convincing.

Oh, and did I mention that Jesse is a 9/11 truther? I’m sure that fact alone will help his cause significantly!

July 9, 2008

Grave Danger? Is There Any Other Kind?

by @ 9:23. Filed under Politics - National.

In yet another incident showing Barack Obama’s inability to hold a position, he now announces Iran to be a “Great threat,” after it test fired nine missiles. In an interview this morning  on Good Morning America, Barack said:

“Iran is a great threat. We have to make sure we are working with our allies to apply tightened pressure on Iran,

What? A great threat? Is this the same Barack Obama who just six weeks ago ridiculed John McCain for saying Iran was a great threat by saying:

I mean think about it. Iran, Cuba, Venezula, their countries are tiny compared to the Soviet Union. They don’t pose a serious threat to the US.

Maybe Barack considers a “great” threat to be less of a threat than a “serious” threat? If so, it would show Obama out of touch with the majority of America for most of America learned from “A Few Good Men” that when it comes to individual or national security/danger, there is only one kind, and it’s always grave.

Say it Ain’t So!

by @ 5:22. Filed under Miscellaneous.

In another strike of the blinding obvious, the SEC has finally determinedthat the large credit rating agencies responsible for assigning credit ratings for the bundled subprime loans, had conflicts of interest in determining those ratings.

Pause

One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten.

Deep breath.

Back in March I gave you information about  what the typical subprime loan and “bond” (actually bundled loans) looked like.   It wasn’t a pretty description!  I stated at the time:

On the one hand I’m mad. Over 75% of the subprime loans reviewed in this study received the highest bond rating of AAA. How stupid is that when you look at the make up of the borrowers. With real interest rates nearly 5% above the norm, it was clear that there was significant risk in this package. I hate the government involved in business but someone needs to step in and change the way that bond rating agencies do their rating.

Beyond the “irrational exuberance” of ever increasing real estate prices, a big piece of shame for the subprime debacle needs to go to the rating agencies.

The rating that the agency gives the various debt instruments has a large impact on the market’s appetite for that debt. Under “normal” market circumstances, if the agency were to give a rating that was lower than expected, the market would expect higher risk and respond by demanding a higher interest rate thereby increasing the overall costs for the issuer. The impact would be that mortgage providers would have charged higher interest rates to the borrowers and that would have allowed fewer of the mortgages and less of the debt to come on the market. If the rating came back with an unexpectedly low rating (which it should have in at least some of these loans), it could have prevented the issuer from finding a buyer at all and that would have cut short future issuance of subprime loans.

The reason why “normal” market forces didn’t work properly is due to the conflict of interest that the SEC “found” but has really existed for years. Rating agencies get compensated for providing their rating on a particular debt or bond issuance. The payment comes from the entity trying to sell or place the bond. If the rating agency gives a poor rating causing either higher interest costs or an inability to sell debt, they get no future business. If they make the debt easy to sell in the market, the rating agencies could expect to see additional business from the folks trying to sell the debt.

2005, 2006 and early 2007 were very heady days for the stock prices of the large agencies. Note any patterns?

So the agencies were getting paid by their customers, so what? Isn’t that how the market works? The answer is yes except when the incentive is so great that it skews your ability to provide an allegedly unbiased answer.

You may remember the name of a little accounting firm called Arthur Andersen. They used to do the audit for another company you may remember, Enron. At the time it was not unusual for large accounting firms to perform financial audits at a loss. They did this because they also typically had a relationship with the client to perform various consulting services. The consulting services were always higher margin and were what many accounting firms made much of their revenue from…in the day. After Enron’s collapse the SEC figured out that if you made a whole lot of money off of consulting services and virtually no money off of an audit, your client had the ability to hold the consulting services over your head to ensure an acceptable opinion on thier audit….even if they were doing things that weren’t exactly kosher…at least that’s what I’ve heard.

When an entity that holds itself out as independent, like CPA firm or a rating agency, has financial entanglement, it has the potential to destroy that entities independence. My opinion is that the rating agencies were completely focused on generating revenues and never thought that providing an “encouraging rating” would ever matter to anyone. They were wrong and we’re all being impacted by their unintended consequences.

July 8, 2008

What part of “Representative” Don’t They Understand?

by @ 5:43. Filed under Energy.

While many Americans believe our government form to be a Democracy, the proper definition of our government is a Constitutional Republic which is a form of a Representative Democracy. The details of the exact differences are unimportant for this post. My purpose was to ensure that folks aren’t confused that I’m confused about the whole Democracy/Representative/Republic issue as I get to this….

Amidst the clamor for lower gas prices from nearly all corners of America comes a Senator with a unique vision. Senator Robert Menendez from New Jersey has initiated a bill that would not only retain the off shore drilling moratorium but make it permanent so that we would never be able to drill off shore, anywhere, anytime. Menendez’s bill is named The COAST Act.

Menendez uses a number of worn, easily refuted and alarmist answers to why drilling is the wrong way to go.

SurveyUSA today released a poll  surveying people from the area, about their willingness to drill off shore of New Jersey. It’s bad news for Senator Menendez.

Amongst the findings of the poll are:

  • 66% of the respondents are ready to drill.   Even 62% of Dems are ready to drill.
  • People are realistic about the results, 60% say prices will not go down immediately but eventually
  • About 17% of the respondents say they would never, ever drill under any circumstances (cue PT Barnum)

The Dems are digging themselves a big hole!   Nancy, Harry and company have decided that the “Do Nothing Congress” was going to finish the session doing what they do best, nothing.   That means that barring any Obama flipflop, nothing will be done to address the need for additional drilling prior to the November election.   I know there are some people who vote party above all else but with poll after poll showing the fuel prices are one of the top two issues and the Dems unwilling to do anything to help and in fact, proposing legislation that would compound the problem, is it really possible that there are enough “party only” people that will vote to maintain and possibly expand a Dem Congress?

One of Menendez’s reasons for not drilling off the New Jersey coast was:

No state on the West Coast will ever allow drilling, and since the Gulf Coast is excluded from the plan, the GOP is banking on the East Coast for production.

Menendez put out his press release on June 18, 2008. Ten days prior, SurveyUSA released a poll showing that 59% Californian’s agree that drilling should be expanded off the coast of California.

Has “The Big One” hit? Isn’t California still a West Coast state?

As for the time machine….It’s Menendez and the rest of the Dems that are trying to use the time machine….to send us back to the 18th Century!

 

It’s Only Gouging if I’m Not Getting the Money

by @ 5:40. Filed under Miscellaneous.

No, this isn’t a joke, this is actually happening.   The Minneapolis Park and Rec. Board has raised their rent for a tent from $20-$60 in 2007 to $50 – $10,000 in 2008.   Oh, and the $10,000 level  gets implemented just in time for  the RNC convention.

I heard an interview with the Park Superintendent on TV this evening. If there is a silver lining to this story, it appears no one from the Republican Convention has contacted the Park and Rec. Board to book their lavish tent. Good! I hope they don’t book an event. It will be very interesting to see what the Board’s rates are next year for events like the Gay Pride Festival! I hope that canvas rots in a corner unused!

July 5, 2008

So Not New That Even His Fund Raising FlipFlops

by @ 5:03. Filed under Politics - National.

In a report by the WorldNetDaily.com, a gambling expert at Focus on the Family, claims that the Obama campaign violated 37 state’s and a Federal statute prohibiting internet gambling. The concern is with Obama’s offer to provide a VIP trip to three winners chosen from people who make at least a $5 contribution to his campaign. According to Focus on the Family, the fact that a person needs to make a contribution to enter the drawing makes the drawing “gambling.” Most drawings of this type get around the “money for a prize” issue by using a “mouse typed” option that allows people to get an entry blank by sending in an entry directly or by getting an entry form by requesting one, Obama’s offer had no alternative option.

OK, in the scheme of things, this isn’t going to show on the radar screen of voter’s decisions. It is funny though that a candidate who is a lawyer, a “Constitutional Professor” and has the media agog about the mastery with which his campaign has been managed would get tripped up by such an entry level issue.

The candidate of “Hope and Change” has had a career’s worth of position changing in just the past couple of weeks: gun control, late term abortions, Iraq etc. I can only imagine that with Obama’s finance team thought flip flopping was now acceptable as a “New Politician” and they wanted to support the team by creating their own opportunity for Barack to say “Juuuuuuust kidding!”

July 4, 2008

Celebrate Independence Day!

by @ 9:06. Filed under Miscellaneous.

I could write a diatribe about referring to this day as “the 4th” rather than Independence Day. But, for most of our readers, simply putting that sentence in will make the point.

Rather, I’d like to give you the attached video.

A couple of years back the Shoe family hopped in the box mobile and went to Branson, MO. If you’ve never been to Branson, the best way to describe the atmosphere is that you will go nowhere where God and Country are not celebrated. If you’re not happy with either, a trip to Branson would not be advisable.

While in Branson we saw a Red Skelton impersonator. I’m old enough to remember Red on TV. He’s another one of those folks who’s great skill was taken from us entirely too early. The impersonator did a pretty good job…looked a fair amount like Red and definitely had his mannerisms and voice inflections to a T. Near the close, the impersonator did Red’s famous explanation of the Pledge of Allegiance. I’m not a highly sentimental individual but for some reason, I was sad to the point of crying for most of that presentation. I suspect it had to do with my deep love for our Country and my concern for what is happening to it.

Anyway, I want to provide the opportunity for you to see this, if you haven’t. Watch it, learn it, live it!

Happy Independence Day!

July 3, 2008

Is it a Flipflop if You Don’t Actually Flip?

by @ 19:50. Filed under Politics - National.

In an interview  this week with “Relevant,” a Christian magazine, Obama said prohibitions on late-term abortions must contain “a strict, well defined exception for the health of the mother.”

Obama then added: “Now, I don’t think that ‘mental distress’ qualifies as the health of the mother. I think it has to be a serious physical issue that arises in pregnancy, where there are real, significant problems to the mother carrying that child to term.”

Wow! Barack Obama is now running limping to the center even on abortion rights!

Except he’s not.

The Freedom of Choice Act (FOCA) is a bill (Senate 1173 and House 1964) that Barack Obama has said he would immediately sign if he was President. At a speech to  the Planned Parenthood Action Fund Obama said:

“The first thing I’d do as president is sign the Freedom of Choice Act,” Obama said in his July speech to abortion advocates worried about the increase of pro-life legislation at the state level.

The specific language of the bill that Obama was addressing is:

(b) Prohibition of Interference- A government may not–

(1) deny or interfere with a woman’s right to choose–
(A) to bear a child;
(B) to terminate a pregnancy prior to viability; or
(C) to terminate a pregnancy after viability where termination is necessary to protect the life or health of the woman; or

(emphasis mine)

Looking at the language and listening to Obama, it seems like he is using a reasonable interpretation of what “health” is, except his definition of “health” is not what the Supreme Court has found in prior decisions. According to: The Supreme Court on Abortion: A Survey
by Mark Tushnet, from Abortion, Medicine, and the Law, Third Edition, 1986, pp. 162

“The final stage of pregnancy under Roe v. Wade occurs after the fetus becomes viable. After viability, the state could regulate or prohibit abortions unless they were “necessary, in appropriate medical judgement”, to preserve the life or health of the woman. This standard must be read, however, in light of the Court’s decision the same day in Doe v. Bolton, that clinical judgement “may be exercised in light of all factors — physical, emotional, psychological, familial, and the woman’s age — relevant to the well-being of the patient

(again, emphasis mine)

Obama is Co-Sponser  of the Senate version of FOCA, the bill that if unchanged and left to the Supreme Court, will likely allow partial birth abortions for a wide variety of reasons including claims of mental health impacts. Yet Obama claims mental health shouldn’t be a reason. That seems to leave me with only two conclusions about Obama’s interview comments:

1. This is another example of Obama backing off of an earlier commitment

or

2. Barack knows full well the implications of the Supreme Court’s previous decisions and his comments to a Christian magazine were nothing but deceitful pandering.

You decide.

Harry Reid, meet Aaron Rodgers

by @ 5:27. Filed under Politics - National, Sports.

In a teary press conference earlier this year, Brett Favre told the world he was retiring. He seemed to be pretty clear that he was serious about it:

a news conference at Lambeau Field two days after he announced his retirement. “It’s been a great career for me, but it’s over.”

Now Brett Favre is inkling that is retirement may not be as retiring as he said earlier this year. I could go into whether this is a good or bad thing for Brett, the NFL, the Green Bay Packers etc. but I’ll leave that up to those who find the cheese hats fashionable.

What did strike me were the comments from Green Bays back up and thought to be now starting QB, Aaron Rodgers. In a separate article discussing his future as the QB for the Pack, Aaron is quoted as saying:

“I don’t feel I need to sell myself to the fans,” he said in the article. “They need to get on board now or keep their mouths shut.”

Wow! For a guy who’s been in the NFL for all of 3 seasons, and has the same number of touchdown passes as interceptions (1), that’s pretty nervy. Sounds a lot like Harry Reid’s tirad on Mitch McConnell the other day. The only part that Aaron left out was something along the lines of, “Why are you afraid of supporting me? You think Brett’s coming back to take over? How stupid can you be? Brett’s retired! Who could possibly be afraid of a retired guy???”

Well Aaron, like Harry Reid, you may find that the guys you scoff at may have the last laugh after all!

The Nader Factor – redux

by @ 5:01. Filed under Politics - National.

A new poll is out showing that Ralph Nader is still polling about 6% nationally and Bob Barr is polling about 3%.

I wrote after he announced his candidacy, that I believed Nader would have an impact on the 2008 race.   Folks then and now continue to pooh pooh that thinking.   They naysayers kept saying that Nader’s vote would look more like his 2004 performance, about .4% of the total vote, rather than his 2000 total which was closer to 3%.

This latest poll gives me more reason to believe that Nader will have something that looks more like his 2000 performance, perhaps better.   The experts on the poll even now suggest that Nader will likely see his polling at about 3% as the election occurs.

I still believe that Nader could well be the spoiler in this election.

First, take a look at the first chart that I had in my original article.   Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania are states where Nader’s % of the vote in 2000 were enough to change possible slim winning margins to losses.   They are also states where current polling suggests that when asked about a Obama/McCain race, McCain to be in either a winning position or within a couple of points.   It’s hard to imagine an Obama victory if each of those 3 states are lost.

Second, I believe the Nader effect may not have seen its peak yet.   Over the past couple of weeks Obama has been making attempts to move to the center.   Obama has flipflopped on gun rights and FISA throwing his furthest left supporters into tizzies.   As Obama continues to attempt moves to convince middle America that he’s “just like them,” I would expect the Left’s margins to do a little peeling and end up in Nader’s court.   I’m not suggesting that Nader will ever be a serious contender.   All he has to do pick up fractions of, or maybe 1% additional in a couple of states and that could spell the difference in what is likely to be a close electoral race.

Yea, Bob Barr is still there and some may argue that he could impact McCain in the same way that Nader impacts Obama.   I really don’t expect that to happen.   My reasoning is that McCain is pretty much McCain.   the Right (far, near or inbetween) already know where McCain stands.   McCain started left of center (at least that’s the perspective of nearly all on the Right who didn’t initially support McCain or maybe Huckabee) so I just don’t see his moves any more annoying than what folks on the Right believe him to already be.

The Nader factor will be one to watch. I can’t imagine the newest poll is helping the Obama people sleep any better at night.

July 2, 2008

Minnesota Senate – Will Jesse Run?

by @ 13:00. Filed under Politics - Minnesota.

On July 1st and for the next 2 weeks, the window to file is open, should one want to be on the November ballots.   The MN media is now atwitter as it tries to read the tea leaves to determine if Jesse Ventura will file to run for the US Senate seat against incumbent Norm Coleman and Dem endorsed Al Franken.

In this interview  by the Rochester, MN ABC affiliate, Ventura’s former campaign manager, Dean Barkley pontificates on whether Ventura will run, the issues he will face and his prospects for the race.

On whether Ventura will run, Barkley says:  

I know his arguments pro and con of what’s going through his mind. If I had to guess I think it’s more likely he’ll run than not. He knows the opportunity is there. He’s not stupid. He knows this is probably a historic opportunity for an independent to win this senate seat.

I’d agree that with Coleman, a well documented RINO who would get Conservative votes not just with a nose held but with full Hazmat suits on, and Al Franken, a candidate who makes Alec Baldwin appear logical and even tempered, running there is room for the incredibly  enigmatic voters of Minnesota to go for an independent. The problem is that Ventura isn’t independent. While he could claim “independence” when he ran for Governor, this time he has a record. A quick review of his record as Governor will show that while he talked as an independent, he governed mostly aligned with the Left.

When queried as to how Ventura would be able to compete in a campaign that has become the most expensive in Minnesota history, Barkley says:

He’ll just have to go out and be Jesse. Just tell them the truth; tell people what he’s thinking, what he thinks is wrong

And there’s the rub. Most onions would have skins determined to be impenetrable in comparison to Jesse’s. Barack Obama would have a better chance of being considered “just one of the guys” in an Evangelical, NRA meeting in Pennsylvania than Jesse would of the vast cross section of Minnesotans. Jesse as Jesse is what took him from Minnesota’s man of “Hope and Change” to a historical political oddity.

Some may fantasize that Ventura will be able to do to the Senate race what he did to the Governor race. They believe that Jesse will be able to invigorate a section of the electorate to vote where they had normally not done so.    That, along with a dissatisfaction with the two party system, would put Jesse over the top. The problem with this thinking is that the invigoration has already been done by Barack Obama. The young folks who Jesse brought to vote are already in. The other problem is that unlike the first time around, Minnesotans now  know Jesse.

In the end, other than some good theatre, it probably doesn’t matter much whether Jesse runs or not. A recent poll by KSTP-TV  shows that Coleman is polling ahead by 12 points if only he and Franken run. Coleman has a 10 point lead over Franken and Ventura finishes a distant third if he enters the race.

If Jesse decides to run, he will likely find Minnesotans following the famous Chinese proverb: “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me!”

Deciphering Mugabeese

by @ 5:51. Filed under International relations.

After being challenged about the validity of the recent “election,” a spokesman for Robert Mugabe, “president” of Zimbabwe said that any one who questioned the election could “go hang!”   He followed up that simple retort with one that was more illustrative:

They can go and hang a thousand times.”

Some reporters have been puzzled as to the meaning or the need to “hang a thousand times.” After all, shouldn’t one hanging do the job? The answer is quite simple: Yes, most brutal, thug dictators would find it sufficient to silence their critics with one hanging.   I believe “presidential ” spokesman George Charamba was just recognizing the obvious and trying to cover his bases. I mean if you’re a brutal, thug dictator and you can’t manage to rig an election to get 99.9% of the vote on the first try, how likely is it that you’ll be smart enough to manage to kill someone on the first hanging try?

Weather Forecast: Cooling in Nevada

by @ 5:51. Filed under Politics - National.

You may have missed this bit of fun between Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell. It took place last week during a discussion regarding allowing a 10% reduction in payments to medicare physicians. If you haven’t heard it, take a quick listen.

So Harry Reid thinks the Senate should just go along with his desire because the President’s approval rating is low. In Harry’s mind, a low approval rating removes any claim the person has on the ability to think critically and develop good policy.

OK, I’ll play!

The latest poll for Harry shows that his home state approval rating is down to 41%…quite amazing when you consider he’s Senate Majority leader and has represented the state for years. One would expect that on his home turf, Harry would get some sympathy, not the case.

On the other hand, Mitch McConnell’s latest approval rating from Kentucky, put him at 57%. I’d say that’s pretty comfortable for a Senator who is part of a party on the outs.

I guess if Harry’s point is “He who has the highest rating wins,” he loses. The same would be true if we were to look at Congress’s approval rating versus the President’s or any other comparison you’d like to make.

So Harry’s on the south end of approval ratings both at home and nationally…and that was before this:

Last I looked, tourism is Nevada’s largest industry. Tourism, especially Nevada’s, is dependent upon people traveling to do the touring. Harry thinks every time someone starts a car, a plane, a train or pretty much any other mode of transportation that can move you faster than 40 MPH for more than a couple hundred miles in one shot, is just “making us sick.”

I’m guessing that even with the heat wave going through Nevada, Harry could be receiving a very cool reception at any July 4th activities.

 

Not the Ones We’ve Known

by @ 5:04. Filed under Miscellaneous.

And yet another Democrat leader, this one from Durham County, NC,  arrested for alleged improprieties…not that that’s unusual anymore.   Another thing that is no longer unusual for the Democrats is someone at a mic ready to throw you under the bus.   Watch as a Democrat Senator from NC does that do the alleged wrong doer.

As I wrote a couple of weeks back,when Al Franken tried to apologize for his sexist writings by saying he wasn’t the Al Franken he had know for 57 years, I’m convinced the Dems have issued an election manual that gives the “that’s not the person I’ve known,” as a key talking point. How else to explain it’s use in multiple states and multiple levels of elections.

As much as I hate to give advice to the competition, I think they’ve hit on something. As the Dems continue to respond to the hard core left and ignore the demand from the American Public to Drill here, Drill now, pay less, they should use their talking point direction as a campaign slogan. I’ve even prepared a bumper sticker for them:

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