No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for March 9th, 2011

Coming soon – AEGIS weather radar?

by @ 23:55. Filed under Weather.

(H/T – Dad29)

Anthony Watts of Watts Up With That? is on the scene at the 2010 test of the National Severe Storms Laboratory’s Phased Array Radar. The current testbed is an adaptation of 1/4th of a Navy AN/SPY-1A phased-array radar, giving 90 degrees of coverage (as it has only one of the four arrays). It holds the promise of both increased warning times on severe storms because of increased speed of updates versus the current mechanically-steered WSR-88D weather radar and a dual mission of replacing the current generation of air traffic control radars.

The biggest impediment to implementation is going to be cost. The reported cost for the most-produced current version of the SPY-1 radar (the D model fitted to Arleigh Burke destroyers and a several different foreign navy ship classes) is somewhere around $11 million per copy, compared to an eventual per-unit cost of $2.5 million for the current WSR-88D weather-only radar. I don’t think too many TV stations are going to be buying their own copies.

Another tipping point – government handouts equal 35% of wages and salaries, 18% of total personal income

by @ 22:17. Filed under Politics - National.

(H/T – Eric Odom)

CNBC reported yesterday that in January, personal transfer payments from government (including Social Security, Medicare, unemployment, veterans’ benefits, family assistance) equaled 35% (actually 35.2%) of the wages and salaries collected, a record figure.

Since the CNBC story did a horrible job of actually explaining things, I’ll draw your attention to the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ Personal Income and Its Disposition table, and especially line 17. Yes, I did take the liberty of including every year available in a manner that allows you to download it as a comma-delimited file (suitable for display in any modern spreadsheet).

I do need to make a clarification of CNBC’s characterization of things – that 35.2% of wages/salaries the governmental personal transfer payments does not mean those handouts made up 35.2% of those wages and salaries; those are two separate items. Rather, the $2.26 billion that flowed out of government from the “haves” to the “wants” is 35.2% of the $6.41 billion in wages and salaries.

The handouts are, however, a part of the total personal income. Last year set a new record in the percentage of income that flowed out of government from the “haves” to the “wants”, at a full 18.0% of the $12.54 billion of total personal income in the country.

How outrageous is that latter amount? When records began to be kept in 1929, government transfers from the “haves” to the “wants” made up only 0.9% of personal income. The Great Depression caused that number to increase to 2.9% by 1931, and despite Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal, it remained in that range until World War II caused a reduction. In 1946, when veterans’ benefits spiked following World War II, that went to a temporary high of 5.7%. The last year of Lyndon Johnson’s Presidency, with his “War on Poverty” and Medicare in full swing, that number was 7.5%. That ratio reached 10% (specifically 10.5%) in 1974, and spiked at 12.5% in 1983 before dropping back to a low of 11.2% in 1989. Even as late as 2008, government handouts made up less than 15% of personal income (with a high of 14.9% in 2008). In 2009, it jumped to 17.2%.

Budget endgame – Dems checkmated

by @ 20:52. Filed under Politics - Wisconsin.

After weeks of being held hostage and lied to by the Fleebag Fourteen Senate Democrats, and ultimately told that the only way the Dems would be coming back was if they were allowed to unconditionally win, the Brothers Fitzgerald had enough and figured out a way to do the budget repair bill without the 20-Senator requirement for a bill that is fiscal in nature. After passing the substitute amendment through a conference committee (which, for those of you out of state, means that it cannot be altered in any way), the Senate Republicans passed it through their chamber, which is still lacking the 14 Democrats, on a party-line 18-1 vote, with Dale Schultz (WEAC-No Talk Radio Here) being the lone dissenter. The bill will now reportedly go to the Assembly tomorrow, with the Assembly starting up at 11 am.

JR Ross at WisPolitics did a quick comparison between the version that previously came out of the Joint Finance Committee, which was stalled by the Fleebag Fourteen, and the version that came out of the conference committee:

These items were removed from the JFC version:
-changes to the earned income tax credit
-a $79 million reduction in the lapses required from the DOA secretary
-$165 million in debt restructuring
-increasing funding for MA programs to close funding gap through end of fiscal year
-the sale of state power plants (emphasis added)
-increasing funding for Corrections to close gap through end of fiscal year
-reallocation of group health and pharmacy benefit reserves
-audit of dependent eligibility under benefit programs

For those wondering about the potential 1,500-state-worker layoffs slated for April if nothing were done, do not quote me, but judging by the differing gross closing balances ($65,115,300 in the JFC version, $158,853,200 in the conference version, both including a $65,000,000 required statutory balance), it looks like they won’t be necessary.

The Democrats appear to be pinning their last hopes on the short notice provided for the conference committee. However, the provision in state law that generally requires a 24-hour notice also allows for that notice to be as short as 2 hours if there is “good cause such notice is impossible or impractical”. That has never been adjudicated, but in Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald’s statement, he said that the Legislative Reference Bureau, which includes non-partisan lawyers hired for the speicific purpose of helping legislators draft bills, effectively signed off on the bill.

Revisions/extensions (10:40 pm 3/9/2011) – Via WisPolitics’ Budget Blog, here is what Senate Chief Clerk Rob Marchant had to say about the short notice provided for the conference committee meeting:

There was some discussion today about the notice provided for the legislature’s conference committee. In special session, under Senate Rule 93, no advance notice is required other than posting on the legislative bulletin board. Despite this rule, it was decided to provide a 2 hour notice by posting on the bulletin board. My staff, as a courtesy, emailed a copy of the notice to all legisaltive (sic) offices at 4:10, which gave the impression that the notice may have been slightly less than 2 hours. Either way, the notice appears to have satisfied the requirements of the rules and statutes.

I thought you might find this information to be useful.

Thanks.

Rob

Revisions/extensions (7:08 am 3/11/2011) – I probably should have caught this when WisPolitics did and before Kevin Binversie started sending people here, but the LFB changed their summary on Thursday morning to note that the potential sale of the state power plants and a change in the Earned Income Tax Credit, not discussed in the Wednesday summary, were part of the bill, and that a “Study of Potential Modifications of the Wisconsin Retirement System and State Employee Health Insurance Options”, which was discussed by the LFB, was not part of the bill. Importantly, LFB director Bob Lang noted that the bill language itself remained the same throughout the process, which means that what the conference committee, the Senate, and the Assembly voted on was, to the letter and punctuation, the same.

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