Comments on: Presidential Pool – Why is Huckabee still in the race?

By: steveegg

steveegg — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 20:55:37 +0000

So noted. However, I discount both that and the math from the Huckster (just as I discounted the math from McCain's campaign that Huckabee needed 120-some percent of the remaining delegates). A couple of corrections off the top of my head to that Huckster math; not only are most of the states some form of winner-take-all, where even a plurality gives a particular candidate all of the delegates, all 40 of Wisconsin's delegates are bound (I suggest reading the Wisconsin GOP constitution, specifically Article X, Section 4). By the way, enjoy the awarding of the bound Romney delegates to McCain.

By: dr511scj

dr511scj — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 19:28:58 +0000

Another analysis from a blogger at http://www.mikehuckabee.com

“McCain has 796 bound and 18 unbound delegates.
.
Now let’s do some math:
McCain needs 395 bound delegates to reach 1191 of the remaining states:
.
Texas – 137 bound and 3 unbound
Ohio – 88 UNBOUND
South Dakota – 24 bound and 3 unbound
Wisconsin – 37 bound and 3 unbound
Vermont – 17 bound
Idaho – 26 bound and 6 unbound
Hawaii – 20 bound
Pennsylvania – 74 UNBOUND
Oregon – 27 bound and 3 unbound
Puerto Rico – 20 bound and 3 unbound
North Carolina – 69 bound
Indiana – 27 bound and 30 UNBOUND
Kentucky – 45 bound
Mississippi – 36 bound and 3 unbound
Rhode Island – 17 bound and 3 unbound
Nebraska – 30 bound and 3 unbound
New Mexico – 29 bound and 3 unbound
.
There are 561 bound delegates left of which Mr. McCain must win 71% of to reach 1191…..now when was the last time he won with 71% of the vote?”

By: dr511scj

dr511scj — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 19:22:17 +0000

Other analyses suggest the number of delegates necessary to achieve a brokered convention is less. See http://speedzzter.blogspot.com

By: steveegg

steveegg — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 02:23:42 +0000

Brad V. said on February 13th, 2008 at 20:10:

Ok I’m somewhat confused here. What are the 193 delegates referring to of which McCain could get 120?

I should have been a bit clearer on that; those 193 are the delegates from Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Minnesota, and Nevada. I previously backed the portions CNN gave Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and John McCain out of their CNN delegate counts because they’re not actually allocated at this point. That number includes those previously allocated to candidates that dropped out, as well as the 11 that Ron Paul is projected to get. They get allocated (depending on the state, either officially bound or officially “unbound”) at district and state conventions, which occur later in the year.

Sorry about the confusion. I’m not a pro, and I don’t have a copy editor to save me.

By: Brad V.

Brad V. — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 02:10:00 +0000

Ok I’m somewhat confused here. What are the 193 delegates referring to of which McCain could get 120?

By: Shoebox

Shoebox — Wed, 13 Feb 2008 16:24:21 +0000

“One more gasp”….yeah, gives me a mental picture of a crappie flopping in the bottom of a boat!

By: steveegg

steveegg — Wed, 13 Feb 2008 15:58:18 +0000

My aunt and uncle live in Arkansas, so I I hear what you’re saying. At the same time, there’s one more gasp left in him.

By: Shoebox

Shoebox — Wed, 13 Feb 2008 15:40:38 +0000

I think Huckabee’s issue is a bit simpler than “future pres.” Under the “Me think thou protestest too much,” I think contrary to Huckabee’s assertion that he’s in it for principle he’s actually in it for himself. I mean, have you ever been to Arkansas? Who the hell is going to care about him once he ends his campaign?