Well, it’s official now. I feel the need to get it off my chest.
Birdman and I have been having an ongoing, private debate. He believes placebocare will yet meet its Waterloo. His primary belief, which he outlines nicely here, is that the looming deficit will be the piece that brings enough Democrat votes together with Republicans, to kill this freedom obliterating bill. I don’t want to make Birdman sound like a myopic Pollyanna. He also believes that abortion, public option or a host of other issues could also cause the bill to stall. In short, if I may paraphrase, he believes there are too many moving pieces and too many Democrats who will have to face election next year, to hold together the votes that were there on the passage of the original House and Senate versions.
I on the other hand, have complete confidence in the Democrats to push this bill through to the end. Let me lay out my rationale.
- As I wrote yesterday, Payola Palooza is now in play. Any Democrat member that Pelosi or Reid would need in a second vote, now have a price tag on their head. Most Senators have already been bought. Representatives go for much much less. While there is a lot of talk about deficits, Harry, Nancy nor President Obama really care about them when it comes to passing this legislation.
- Obama is in trouble. Read any poll you want and it is clear that Obama’s approval is falling on all political fronts. Heck, even African Americans are down in the 60% approval level. If Obama fails to get placebocare passed it could be argued that he is Ofer in his first year with no where to go but down. All of his chips are in on placebocare. He’ll get Nancy and Harry to do everything possible to keep him from becoming irrelevant before his first State of the Union.
- Elections – all the talk about Democrats having to face the electorate is a smoke screen. Nancy Pelosi has already said she expects to lose up to 40 seats next year. She considers these “transitional” seats. She believes that they are the Democrat version of RINOS and should be replaced by more vigilant Marxists!
- To the argument that Birdman makes about self preservation, I present exhibit A. Expect to see many more “centrist” Democrats to announce their “retirements” in the next few weeks. These are people who know they are dead people walking i.e. vote for the bill and they won’t get reelected, vote against the bill and Pelosi will have them cleaning the Republican urinals until they retire. Oh, and if you think, “poor people, they’ll be out of work!” Don’t worry, for anyone that goes willingly, Nancy has cushy, high paying and high pension jobs lined up for each of the votes she needs to buy.
- It doesn’t have XXXXX (name your favorite feature.) Sorry, it doesn’t matter whether it is the public option, abortion, the deficit or any of the other items id’d as “deal breakers.” None of them will ultimately be “deal breakers!” In the end, the far left, the moderate left and all other versions of the left will accept anything that will pass with the understanding that if they pass it now, regardless of what is actually passed, they can fix it later. Perfection is not required, passing something, anything is!
- Finally, history! There is no doubt that every Democrat looks at this bill as historical. While I admit to not understanding it, I see a similar pattern with placebocare as there was with the election of Barack Obama. It was clear from early on that Obama was a Marxist and apologist who would do this country harm. Objective people, people who actually wanted to look at the information, saw through the veneer of public persona that was being created. Unfortunately for our country, in the end, too many people got caught up in the sale of “change” and the historicity of the first black president. Placebocare is on the same track. Any logical, thinking person can see the line of broken promises we’ll experience if placebocare is based. That said, this isn’t about logic. This is all about emotion and history for the Democrats.
There, now you’re on the inside of a debate that Birdman and I have had for several weeks. Don’t get me wrong, I hope I’m wrong and Birdman is right. Unfortunately, I’m used to the Democrats going against anything that resembles America but I’m hoping to be pleasantly surprised!