No Runny Eggs

The repository of one hard-boiled egg from the south suburbs of Milwaukee, Wisconsin (and the occassional guest-blogger). The ramblings within may or may not offend, shock and awe you, but they are what I (or my guest-bloggers) think.

Archive for November 5th, 2008

NRE poll – who will be the GOP nominee in 2012 (take 2)?

by @ 16:48. Filed under NRE Polls.

I know, it’s far too early to begin considering who will be the Republican standard-bearer in 2012 (or if there will be a GOP), but since I have no influence, I may as well kick things off. You’ll notice the poll has but 4 choices:

Who will be the Republican Presidential nominee in 2012? (take 2)

Up to 1 answer(s) was/were allowed

  • Mitt Romney (55%, 108 Vote(s))
  • Somebody else (please name the person in the thread) (25%, 50 Vote(s))
  • Nobody as the GOP will cease to exist before November 2012 (12%, 23 Vote(s))
  • Mike Huckabee (9%, 17 Vote(s))

Total Voters: 198

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I’ll quickly go through the 4 choices:

Mitt Romney – He is the conventional “next in line” the Republicans are so fond of choosing since 1956. While he was in the nomination race, he was the second-leading delegate getter. However, he wasn’t the last one to fall before this year’s “next in line” guy, John McCain

Mike Huckabee – He stakes his claim to be “next in line” by being the last one out of the primaries. However, until things narrowed to him and McCain, he was at best third.

The field – The rest of the Republican field, including Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Bobby Jindal, and anybody else one can think of, does not have any claim to be “next in line”. As the Republican party proved for the 14th consecutive time, if one is not the “next in line”, one will not be the nominee.

Nobody as the GOP disappears – For those who think this impossible, let’s ask the leaders of the Whigs and the Federalists. Oops; we can’t because those parties, which were once the Not-Democratic Party, no longer exist. Indeed, the Federalists disappeared without anything to replace them in the planning stages.

For those that are wondering how the first take went (which I had up pretty much continuously between March and August), here’s the results.

Who will be the 2012 Republican Presidential nominee?

Up to 1 answer(s) was/were allowed

  • Nobody as the GOP will not be in existence in 2012 (26%, 66 Vote(s))
  • John McCain (22%, 56 Vote(s))
  • Mitt Romney (as the sitting VP/President) (22%, 56 Vote(s))
  • Mitt Romney (not as the sitting VP/President) (11%, 29 Vote(s))
  • Mike Huckabee (as the sitting VP/President) (8%, 19 Vote(s))
  • Whoever else is the sitting VP/President (you can name the person in the thread) (5%, 13 Vote(s))
  • Whoever else is not the sitting VP/President (you can name the person in the thread) (4%, 9 Vote(s))
  • Mike Huckabee (not as the sitting VP/President) (2%, 5 Vote(s))

Total Voters: 253

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Very painful night

Welcome to the Wisconsin Socialist Collective of the United Socialist States of America. Yes, the people have spoken, and by a margin that, at least in Wisconsin, is beyond the margin of fraud, we’re about to head down the path of Eastern Europe circa 1985.

The Democrats have handily taken over the Assembly. Even without the still-close races in the 43rd (the Dem is leading by 304 votes with a precinct still to report), 47th (the 28-vote margin the Republican has will in all likelyhood be challenged), and the 67th (where ex-“Republican” Jeff Wood, whose future caucusing preferences are unknown, won by 175 votes), they have a 6-seat margin. Here comes the tripling of the sales tax the voters of Milwaukee County demanded. Here comes the socialization of health care the voters of Oak Creek and South Milwaukee demanded. The school referenda that are a mixed bag will be no more; those spending and tax increases, forced in large part to the suddenly-disappearing QEO, will simply fly through without the voters’ say.

The voters have also proven that Wisconsin is as reliably ‘Rat Red (I refuse to call the Dems’ color “blue”; just be thankful I don’t call it the Communist Red that it should be) as Illinois in a statewide election. I can’t argue with the numbers and history. Outside of Tommy Thompson, who had the incumbent factor working for him since 1990, and the fluke of J.B. Van Hollen in 2006, the Republicans have not won a meaningful statewide election since 1986 (no, state treasurer is not meaningful and besides, we now have a part-time Boston Store clerk Dem as state treasurer). Moreover, Barack Obama’s 376,000-vote margin was well beyond the 55,000 fraudulent vote estimate from John Fund.

On to the national scene – the Dems proved that popularity is extremely overrated. They were rewarded for being at the helm of the “least-popular” Congress ever with an absolute, no-Joe-Lieberman-needed majority in the Senate, and an increased majority in the House. When combined with two of the most-liberal of their number in the executive branch, that means every liberal pipe dream will be enacted, from the overturning of every previously-allowed limitation on abortion (which Obama promised will be the first thing he signs), to a forced increase in union rolls, to the elimination of the private retirement system. While the damage to the Supreme Court, at least in Obama’s first term, will likely be limited to granting the liberal seats a 30-year extension (barring something happening to either Justice Kennedy or the 4 conservatives), the lower courts will become far more liberal as the Dem-caused vacancy crisis is suddenly filled with Lawgivers-In-Black.

Still, the night’s biggest losers weren’t conservatives, Republicans, or even the people of this country. They were Jeff Wood and Joe Lieberman. First, I’ll take the case of Wood. He burned his bridges with the Republican Assembly caucus when he decided to bolt. Because the Democrats won’t need his vote to get anything they want done in the Assembly done, he’s a man without a caucus.

Similarily, Joe Lieberman is no longer necessary to keep the Dems in power in the US Senate. While, at the moment, the filibuster survives because the Dems didn’t get to 60 in their caucus, and won’t regardless of where Lieberman caucuses, I don’t expect the filibuster to survive the next Congress. The Democrats will be under enormous pressure to get their one-party socialism agenda done before 2011, partly because that is what the nutroots demand, and partly because without a quick-cementing of power, the pendulum will swing back and smack them upside the head.

I can’t be all negative, however. Paul Ryan handily won re-election, Michelle Bachmann in Minnesota hung on, Mark Honadel made a miraculous comeback to hang onto his seat (I thought it lost when he was down 10 points with 16 of 24 precincts reporting), Bill Kramer and Leah Vukmir will be back in the Assembly, and there is one last day of sunny Indian summer left in the land of cheese and beer. If we are going to truly repeat American history, which has twice rejected permanent one-Democratic Party rule, we have to build on those few successes.

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